Latest trade
Feb 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:01 AM UTC.
Analytics
VanguardTempest is down $2.54 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 46 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-02-03 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Feb 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:01 AM UTC.
$5.2 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 30 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Jul 24, 2025 UTC to Feb 17, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 5.34 | $0.989 | $5.28 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-02-03 02:15 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 08:01 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 08:01 UTC
polymarket positions
48 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-02-03 02:15 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $6.65 and losing ones cost $10.08 across 46 settled positions. 84.8% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1 on “Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?” (No); the largest loss, $3.83 on “Bitcoin all time high by March 31?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 17 Feb 2026. It has traded 47 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 9.51 |
| $0.992 |
| $9.43 |
| Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.993 | $5.13 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 8.91 | $0.983 | $8.76 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 10.08 | $0.984 | $9.92 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.974 | $6.09 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 8.96 | $0.973 | $8.72 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?No | buy | 4.24 | $0.996 | $4.22 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 6.27 | $0.998 | $6.26 | Dec 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will SOL flip ETH in 2025?No | buy | 5.48 | $0.995 | $5.45 | Dec 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?No | buy | 7.07 | $0.993 | $7.02 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.998 | $6.01 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?No | buy | 9.62 | $0.992 | $9.54 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | buy | 2.29 | $0.998 | $2.29 | Dec 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?No | buy | 3.43 | $0.989 | $3.39 | Dec 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Mike Matusow win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bryn Kenney win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will SOL flip ETH in 2025?No | buy | 4.56 | $0.997 | $4.55 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 3.86 | $0.994 | $3.84 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | buy | 13.67 | $0.995 | $13.6 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 4.95 | $0.992 | $4.91 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will XRP reach $6.00 in October?No | buy | 3.68 | $0.998 | $3.67 | Oct 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in October?No | buy | 4.1 | $0.989 | $4.05 | Oct 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?No | buy | 4.38 | $0.995 | $4.36 | Oct 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?No | buy | 3.32 | $0.993 | $3.3 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No | buy | 4.88 | $0.996 | $4.86 | Oct 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Solana reach $350 in September?No | buy | 4.96 | $0.960 | $4.76 | Sep 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?No | buy | 2.8 | $0.997 | $2.79 | Sep 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $6000 in September?No | buy | 4.61 | $0.960 | $4.43 | Sep 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will Solana dip to $130 in September?No | buy | 3.42 | $0.990 | $3.39 | Sep 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $8000 in September?No | buy | 3.94 | $0.996 | $3.92 | Sep 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in September?No | buy | 3.67 | $0.996 | $3.66 | Sep 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?Yes | buy | 173.91 | $0.006 | $1 | Sep 6, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.960 | $4.89 | Aug 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in August?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.960 | $4.99 | Aug 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in August?No | buy | 7.68 | $0.989 | $7.6 | Aug 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.948 | $4.9 | Aug 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in August?No | buy | 5.52 | $0.989 | $5.46 | Aug 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?No | buy | 7.78 | $0.970 | $7.55 | Aug 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in August?No | buy | 7.06 | $0.979 | $6.91 | Aug 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in August?No | buy | 6.65 | $0.992 | $6.6 | Aug 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will Solana reach $180 in August?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.970 | $7.46 | Aug 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in August?No | buy | 7.79 | $0.990 | $7.71 | Aug 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in August?No | buy | 7.71 | $0.983 | $7.58 | Aug 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Fernando Alonso finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?Yes | buy | 559.33 | $0.002 | $1 | Aug 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?No | buy | 11.89 | $0.998 | $11.87 | Jul 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in July?No | buy | 12.49 | $0.999 | $12.48 | Jul 28, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?No | buy | 14.68 | $0.993 | $14.58 | Jul 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?No | buy | 11.02 | $0.990 | $10.91 | Jul 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.991 | $10.44 | Jul 24, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.