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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.88 | $0.045 | $0.02 | -$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.130 | $7.15 | Jun 24, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 55 |
| $0.130 |
| $7.15 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 92 | $0.140 | $12.88 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.140 | $6.16 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 36 | $0.948 | $34.13 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 36 | $0.945 | $34.02 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.047 | $2.68 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 93 | $0.046 | $4.28 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 51 | $0.899 | $45.85 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.080 | $7.04 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.937 | $1.87 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.750 | $30.75 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.937 | $1.87 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.055 | $3.85 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | sell | 30 | $0.972 | $29.16 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.973 | $29.19 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.040 | $2.84 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.610 | $15.86 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.620 | $11.16 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 24 | $0.861 | $20.66 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.857 | $20.57 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 66 | $0.550 | $36.3 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.974 | $44.8 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 99 | $0.450 | $44.55 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 99 | $0.450 | $44.55 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.092 | $2.76 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | buy | 138 | $0.095 | $13.11 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 26 | $0.977 | $25.4 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 91 | $0.016 | $1.46 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.045 | $1.21 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 59.62 | $0.580 | $34.58 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.580 | $23.2 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.059 | $2.6 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.062 | $5.56 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 67 | $0.500 | $33.5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 74.88 | $0.041 | $3.07 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.012 | $1.08 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 55 | $0.811 | $44.61 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 55 | $0.821 | $45.15 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.620 | $21.7 | May 19, 2026 |
 Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.021 | $0.25 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.020 | $0.88 | May 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 48 | $0.947 | $45.46 | May 17, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.023 | $0.16 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 52 | $0.089 | $4.63 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 61 | $0.089 | $5.43 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 16 | $0.952 | $15.23 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 16 | $0.952 | $15.23 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.015 | $0.63 | Apr 26, 2026 |