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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.75 | $0.966 | $0.73 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 19.25 | $0.969 | $18.65 | May 21, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 44 |
| $0.966 |
| $42.5 |
| May 21, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.047 | $1.97 | May 21, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 45 | $0.956 | $43.02 | May 20, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.270 | $20.25 | May 20, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | May 20, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.240 | $1.92 | May 20, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 58 | $0.730 | $42.34 | May 18, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 72 | $0.360 | $25.92 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.136 | $0.54 | May 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.973 | $38.92 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.028 | $1.82 | May 16, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.977 | $39.08 | May 15, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.042 | $1.55 | May 15, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.053 | $0.79 | May 14, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.050 | $4.3 | May 14, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 45 | $0.947 | $42.61 | May 14, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.951 | $42.79 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 45 | $0.951 | $42.79 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 45 | $0.951 | $42.79 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.020 | $0.74 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 166 | $0.020 | $3.32 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 32 | $0.078 | $2.5 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.078 | $2.5 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?No | sell | 40 | $0.984 | $39.36 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?No | buy | 10 | $0.984 | $9.84 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.957 | $38.28 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.136 | $1.77 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 41 | $0.933 | $38.25 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 43 | $0.892 | $38.36 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 43 | $0.889 | $38.23 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?No | buy | 39 | $0.987 | $38.49 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.968 | $19.36 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | sell | 24 | $0.969 | $23.26 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 44 | $0.969 | $42.64 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | sell | 81 | $0.027 | $2.19 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.027 | $1.62 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?No | sell | 44 | $0.974 | $42.86 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?No | buy | 44 | $0.975 | $42.9 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 44 | $0.985 | $43.34 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 48 | $0.983 | $47.18 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.949 | $18.03 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.947 | $17.99 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.958 | $22.99 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 56 | $0.850 | $47.6 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 56 | $0.850 | $47.6 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 44 | $0.969 | $42.64 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.180 | $2.88 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 44 | $0.978 | $43.03 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 13 | $0.911 | $11.84 | Apr 10, 2026 |