Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | Yes | 3.05 | $0.026 | $0.2 | +$0.13 |
 Will Yordan Alvarez lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party win the FL-21 House seat?Yes | sell | 0.49 | $0.130 | $0.06 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.89 |
| $0.022 |
| $0.15 |
| +$0.09 |
 Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | No | 3.26 | $0.140 | $0.1 | -$0.35 |
 Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? | No | 1 | $0.079 | $0.06 | -$0.02 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? | No | 0.44 | $0.140 | $0.06 | -$0 |
 Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 0.47 | $0.021 | $0.05 | +$0.04 |
 Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? | Yes | 0.69 | $0.165 | $0.05 | -$0.06 |
 Will Oliver Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.050 | $0.05 | -$0.18 |
 Jonathan Majors as Kang? | Yes | 0.69 | $0.121 | $0.05 | -$0.04 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 0.4 | $0.152 | $0.05 | -$0.01 |
 Will the Republican Party win the CA-51 House seat? | Yes | 1 | $0.055 | $0.05 | -$0.01 |
 Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 0.32 | $0.090 | $0.05 | +$0.02 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat? | No | 0.4 | $0.060 | $0.04 | +$0.02 |
 Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026? | Yes | 0.6 | $0.042 | $0.04 | +$0.02 |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 0.61 | $0.145 | $0.04 | -$0.05 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026? | No | 1.05 | $0.051 | $0.04 | -$0.02 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | Yes | 0.4 | $0.170 | $0.04 | -$0.03 |
 New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? | Yes | 0.97 | $0.030 | $0.04 | +$0.01 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the GA-02 House seat? | No | 0.49 | $0.160 | $0.04 | -$0.04 |
 Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 0.91 | $0.034 | $0.04 | +$0.01 |
 Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | Yes | 0.57 | $0.029 | $0.04 | +$0.02 |
 Will the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat? | No | 0.55 | $0.090 | $0.04 | -$0.01 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-18 House seat? | Yes | 1.39 | $0.050 | $0.03 | -$0.04 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31? | Yes | 0.71 | $0.100 | $0.03 | -$0.04 |
 FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | Yes | 0.54 | $0.170 | $0.03 | -$0.06 |
| sell |
| 0.94 |
| $0.073 |
| $0.07 |
| Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Yes | sell | 0.92 | $0.062 | $0.06 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Pete Alonso lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?Yes | sell | 2.89 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.057 | $0.06 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.45 | $0.170 | $0.08 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Jack Reed be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?No | sell | 0.93 | $0.089 | $0.08 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.82 | $0.084 | $0.07 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.85 | $0.090 | $0.08 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 5?Yes | sell | 0.99 | $0.080 | $0.08 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.64 | $0.120 | $0.08 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?No | sell | 0.82 | $0.090 | $0.07 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?Yes | sell | 0.93 | $0.084 | $0.08 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Yes | sell | 0.66 | $0.120 | $0.08 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.96 | $0.096 | $0.09 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the LA-04 House seat?Yes | sell | 0.9 | $0.090 | $0.08 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title?Yes | sell | 0.99 | $0.093 | $0.09 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Dale Holness be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?Yes | sell | 0.88 | $0.039 | $0.03 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 0.88 | $0.090 | $0.08 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | sell | 0.6 | $0.155 | $0.09 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Yes | sell | 0.48 | $0.233 | $0.11 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Ramp IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.91 | $0.100 | $0.09 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | sell | 0.38 | $0.607 | $0.23 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.68 | $0.220 | $0.15 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?Yes | sell | 0.13 | $0.370 | $0.05 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.56 | $0.230 | $0.13 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | sell | 0.61 | $0.120 | $0.07 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Mike Cox win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 0.84 | $0.112 | $0.09 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Max Diaz be the Democratic nominee for SC-01?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.002 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce Jonathan Berry as the next United States Labor SecretaryYes | sell | 0.8 | $0.022 | $0.02 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.39 | $0.238 | $0.09 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Edna DeVries advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?Yes | sell | 2.14 | $0.035 | $0.07 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 0.84 | $0.110 | $0.09 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | sell | 0.95 | $0.079 | $0.08 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.33 | $0.170 | $0.06 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Ben Frasier be the Democratic nominee for SC-01?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.001 | $0.05 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.99 | $0.100 | $0.1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Pam Bondi be arrested before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.08 | $0.031 | $0.06 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?Yes | sell | 0.79 | $0.080 | $0.06 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.68 | $0.150 | $0.1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Diddy released from custody in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.57 | $0.047 | $0.03 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | sell | 0.93 | $0.110 | $0.1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 0.43 | $0.250 | $0.11 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Ryan Fazio win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 0.95 | $0.101 | $0.1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Tori launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.003 | $0.06 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Yes | sell | 0.62 | $0.163 | $0.1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.59 | $0.295 | $0.17 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.34 | $0.210 | $0.07 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat?Yes | sell | 0.73 | $0.160 | $0.12 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?Yes | sell | 0.41 | $0.270 | $0.11 | Jun 10, 2026 |