Latest trade
Oct 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 19, 4:54 PM UTC.
Analytics
W3-Geopolitica is down $44.41 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-19 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 19, 4:54 PM UTC.
$0.2 median trade
Its latest 400 trades covered 79 markets; 21.5% were buys. They run from May 8, 2026 UTC to Oct 19, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump goes to space in 2026? | No | 1.96 | $0.969 | $1.93 | +$0.03 |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Paris curfew by October 31?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.270 | $0.29 | 6h ago |
|
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-19 14:46 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-19 16:54 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
400 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-19 16:54 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-19 10:46 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $12.9 and losing ones cost $21.68 across the latest 50 settled positions. 54% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.01 on “Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score” (Yes); the largest loss, $2.62 on “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?” (Yes).
It first traded on 5 Mar 2026 and most recently on 19 Oct 2026. It has traded 160 markets. Its open positions are worth $4.28 across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1.07 |
| $0.947 |
| $1.05 |
| +$0.04 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 0.7 | $0.915 | $0.68 | +$0.03 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 6.91 | $0.162 | $0.63 | -$0.49 |
| buy |
| 1.1 |
| $0.910 |
| $1 |
| 6h ago |
 Will Rodri attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Yes | sell | 0.5 | $0.840 | $0.42 | 14h ago |
| Will Rodri attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Yes | sell | 0.62 | $0.850 | $0.53 | 14h ago |
| Will Rodri attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | 14h ago |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 1.99 | $0.263 | $0.52 | 15h ago |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 0.95 | $0.089 | $0.08 | 16h ago |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.089 | $0.01 | 16h ago |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 0.41 | $0.953 | $0.39 | 7d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | sell | 2.31 | $0.120 | $0.28 | 26d ago |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.511 | $1.02 | 29d ago |
 Iran leadership change by September 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.011 | $1.1 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.012 | $1.2 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.51 | $0.940 | $0.48 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 1.92 | $0.850 | $1.63 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.850 | $1.68 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.46 | $0.940 | $1.37 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 0.45 | $0.980 | $0.44 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 0.12 | $0.980 | $0.12 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.940 | $1.86 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 1.42 | $0.973 | $1.38 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 2 | $0.972 | $1.94 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 26?Yes | buy | 1.94 | $0.680 | $1.32 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Kai and Speed have less than 10 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.998 | $1.3 | Aug 8, 2026 UTC |
 Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceMexico | sell | 2.17 | $0.120 | $0.26 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceMexico | sell | 2.22 | $0.120 | $0.27 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceBrazil | sell | 2.43 | $0.120 | $0.29 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceBrazil | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.480 | $0.96 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.550 | $1.1 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceMexico | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 2 | $0.930 | $1.86 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceMexico | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Canada vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceMorocco | buy | 2.01 | $0.720 | $1.45 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?Yes | sell | 1.53 | $0.860 | $1.32 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 1.53 | $0.660 | $1.01 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes | sell | 0.46 | $0.150 | $0.07 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.190 | $0.57 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes | sell | 1.44 | $0.260 | $0.37 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 1.9 | $0.630 | $1.2 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina | sell | 3 | $0.190 | $0.57 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.650 | $1.95 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Argentina | sell | 3 | $0.110 | $0.33 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina | buy | 3 | $0.670 | $2.01 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Argentina | buy | 3 | $0.430 | $1.29 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.97 | $0.337 | $0.66 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.4 | $0.321 | $0.13 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.34 | $0.300 | $0.1 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.