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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.42 | $0.950 | $0.41 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | sell | 1 | $0.860 | $0.86 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.890 |
| $44.5 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.910 | $77.35 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 54 | $0.023 | $1.24 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 58 | $0.023 | $1.33 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 148 | $0.023 | $3.4 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 91 | $0.610 | $55.51 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 91 | $0.580 | $52.78 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.040 | $3.52 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 158 | $0.080 | $12.64 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 75 | $0.899 | $67.43 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | sell | 77.85 | $0.860 | $66.95 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 79 | $0.860 | $67.94 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 81 | $0.840 | $68.04 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.580 | $51.04 | May 26, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 63 | $0.863 | $54.37 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 45 | $0.949 | $42.71 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 44 | $0.952 | $41.89 | May 25, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 158 | $0.188 | $29.7 | May 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 18.84 | $0.570 | $10.74 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 33 | $0.960 | $31.68 | May 23, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 18 | $0.760 | $13.68 | May 23, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 56 | $0.963 | $53.93 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 99 | $0.550 | $54.45 | May 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 99 | $0.560 | $55.44 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.044 | $0.88 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 40.7 | $0.043 | $1.75 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Juventus win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | buy | 1.74 | $0.975 | $1.7 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.992 | $1.62 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?No | buy | 34 | $0.889 | $30.23 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will Yoon Suk Yeol be elected the next president of South Korea?No | sell | 27 | $0.983 | $26.54 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?Yes | sell | 94 | $0.011 | $1.03 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 27 | $0.967 | $26.11 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.013 | $0.07 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 133 | $0.013 | $1.73 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 X allowed to operate in China before May?No | buy | 31 | $0.990 | $30.69 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.044 | $1.14 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July?Yes | sell | 111 | $0.044 | $4.88 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July?Yes | buy | 87 | $0.044 | $3.83 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July?Yes | sell | 56 | $0.042 | $2.35 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Trump signs national abortion ban?No | buy | 28 | $0.979 | $27.41 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 300-324 times April 4 - 11?No | sell | 28 | $0.991 | $27.75 | Apr 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 300-324 times April 4 - 11?No | buy | 28 | $0.988 | $27.66 | Apr 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.042 | $1.13 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Will Bloc Québécois win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?Yes | buy | 59 | $0.006 | $0.35 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?Yes | sell | 172 | $0.013 | $2.24 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 30 | $0.978 | $29.34 | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?Yes | buy | 116 | $0.014 | $1.62 | Apr 7, 2025 |