Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 51% on 7 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 114 daily closes on record from 7 Jan 2025 to 30 Apr 2025, the highest close was 51% on 7 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 42% on 8 Jan 2025. $404.73K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 30, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 114 points, 7 Jan 2025 – 30 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2025 | 51.0% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 77.29K |
| Misty Signal 7C25 | Yes | 35.34K |
| heuer | Yes | 6.35K |
The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bloc Québécois wins the second most seats in the House of Commons as a result of the next Canadian general election. If voting in the next Canadian general election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the second most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-party-wins-2nd-most-seats-in-canadian-election
| Yes |
| 4.95K |
| Fortehlulz | Yes | 1.04K |
| RQXXIihoCN | Yes | 451 |
| NGNFMOGRIZ | Yes | 350 |
| PolyDump | Yes | 111 |
| Mbchs | No | 12.49 |
| ncode123 | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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