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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?No | buy | 181.25 | $0.350 | $63.44 | May 8, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.36K |
| $0.265 |
| $362.01 |
| May 8, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 200 | $0.740 | $148 | May 8, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 100 | $0.740 | $74 | May 8, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 23K | $0.004 | $92 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 95K | $0.001 | $95 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 45.53 | $0.015 | $0.68 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 592.66 | $0.015 | $8.89 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 610.6 | $0.015 | $9.16 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50K | $0.003 | $150 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 96.44 | $0.015 | $1.45 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.1K | $0.015 | $121.47 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 40K | $0.003 | $120 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.003 | $30 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.016 | $1.11 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 600.6 | $0.016 | $9.61 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 650 | $0.016 | $10.4 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.014 | $14 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will there be between 210k and 220k initial jobless claims during the week ending February 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.92 | $0.990 | $1.9 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will there be between 210k and 220k initial jobless claims during the week ending February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 25?No | buy | 50 | $0.330 | $16.5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will SOFR hit 3.63% (Low) between February 13 and February 28?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.030 | $0.6 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 25?No | buy | 45 | $0.780 | $35.1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump's tie be blue?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | sell | 69.99 | $0.251 | $17.57 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump's tie be red?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.810 | $20.25 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump's tie be red?Yes | buy | 1.53 | $0.520 | $0.8 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will the Department of Homeland Security receive full-year funding by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.016 | $1.6 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.290 | $2.9 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | sell | 21.26 | $0.284 | $6.04 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | sell | 144 | $0.288 | $41.47 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | sell | 16 | $0.290 | $4.64 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 251.26 | $0.199 | $50 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.047 | $4.7 | Feb 20, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 100 | $0.963 | $96.3 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?No | sell | 128.2 | $0.999 | $128.07 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?No | buy | 55.48 | $0.900 | $49.93 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?No | buy | 128.21 | $0.780 | $100 | Feb 20, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?No | sell | 176.39 | $0.850 | $149.93 | Feb 20, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?No | buy | 176.39 | $0.790 | $139.35 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 100 | $0.948 | $94.75 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | Feb 19, 2026 |