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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?Yes | sell | 60.6 | $0.212 | $12.86 | Jul 19, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 60.61 |
| $0.330 |
| $20 |
| Jul 17, 2025 |
Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?Yes | buy | 73.25 | $0.560 | $41 | Jul 17, 2025 |
Is Jeffrey Epstein alive?Yes | sell | 818.08 | $0.024 | $19.63 | Jul 17, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Yes | sell | 297.05 | $0.083 | $24.72 | Jul 17, 2025 |
OpenAI browser in July?Yes | sell | 105.81 | $0.121 | $12.8 | Jul 17, 2025 |
OpenAI browser in July?Yes | buy | 105.82 | $0.189 | $20 | Jul 17, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Yes | buy | 297.06 | $0.337 | $100 | Jul 13, 2025 |
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Yes | sell | 441.09 | $0.120 | $52.85 | Jul 13, 2025 |
OpenAI social app in 2025?Yes | sell | 267.7 | $0.151 | $40.49 | Jul 13, 2025 |
Is Jeffrey Epstein alive?Yes | buy | 818.08 | $0.024 | $20 | Jul 13, 2025 |
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Yes | buy | 441.09 | $0.340 | $150 | Apr 30, 2025 |
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?Yes | sell | 723.81 | $0.102 | $73.9 | Apr 30, 2025 |
OpenAI social app before June?Yes | sell | 533.32 | $0.108 | $57.43 | Apr 30, 2025 |
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?No | sell | 336.34 | $0.680 | $228.71 | Apr 30, 2025 |
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?No | buy | 336.35 | $0.735 | $247.22 | Apr 17, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | sell | 882.35 | $0.280 | $247.06 | Apr 17, 2025 |
OpenAI social app before June?Yes | buy | 533.32 | $0.137 | $73 | Apr 16, 2025 |
OpenAI social app in 2025?Yes | buy | 267.71 | $0.374 | $100 | Apr 16, 2025 |
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?Yes | buy | 723.82 | $0.207 | $150 | Apr 16, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 882.35 | $0.340 | $300 | Apr 16, 2025 |