Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 16% on 28 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 94 daily closes on record from 28 Feb 2025 to 1 Jun 2025, the highest close was 26% on 17 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 26% on 17 Apr 2025. $24.4K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 2, 12:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 94 points, 28 Feb 2025 – 1 Jun 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2025 | 16.0% |
| 1 Jun 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| kappajohn | Yes | 29.74 |
| Userone | Yes | 29.41 |
| Mr.CostaRica | Yes | 23.08 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a social iOS app owned by OpenAI is available for installation on the US iOS app store by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pre-Order does not satisfy the market conditions. A "social app" refers to an iOS application that's primary function is facilitating social interaction between users, such as messaging, content sharing, or community engagement. The primary resolution source will be the US iOS app store, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/openai-social-app-before-june
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 16.67 |
| swillkekx | Yes | 12.5 |
| Coral Vector 430D | No | 6.67 |
| adarshd | Yes | 5.88 |
| ooss944 | No | 1.07 |
| psiholog | No | 1 |
| Royal Beacon BEEB | No | 0.03 |
