Latest trade
Oct 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 4:52 PM UTC.
Analytics
btfrs is down $1.31K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 4:52 PM UTC.
$200 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 47 markets; 90.0% were buys. They run from Sep 10, 2026 UTC to Oct 19, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? | No | 742.65 | $0.673 | $734.85 | +$234.85 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19?Yes | buy | 245.6 | $0.800 | $196.48 | 7d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-01 09:00 UTC
Polymarket public position response
24 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 16:52 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 16:52 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-01 09:00 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $6.52K and losing ones cost $13.51K across the latest 50 settled positions. 28% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.42K on “Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?” (Yes); the largest loss, $3K on “FIFA Club World Cup: Manchester City vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)” (Man City).
Its most recent trade on record was on 19 Oct 2026. It has traded 274 markets. Its open positions are worth $8.14K across 24 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 537.63 |
| $0.930 |
| $491.94 |
| -$8.06 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 706.49 | $0.425 | $460.98 | +$160.98 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 728.97 | $0.686 | $455.61 | -$44.39 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 459.77 | $0.870 | $434.48 | +$34.48 |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $300 in October? | No | 595.34 | $0.772 | $401.85 | -$58.01 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 407.54 | $0.736 | $400.41 | +$100.41 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 538.05 | $0.743 | $395.47 | -$4.53 |
 Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | No | 401.45 | $0.747 | $391.81 | +$91.81 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 361.45 | $0.830 | $359.82 | +$59.82 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 364.16 | $0.824 | $337.39 | +$37.39 |
 Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | No | 352.47 | $0.851 | $334.32 | +$34.32 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.750 | $334 | +$34 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 326.09 | $0.920 | $319.89 | +$19.89 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 322.58 | $0.620 | $308.06 | +$108.06 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 328.57 | $0.761 | $297.36 | +$47.36 |
 Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | No | 312.44 | $0.800 | $291.66 | +$41.66 |
 US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | Yes | 308.64 | $0.810 | $254.63 | +$4.63 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 271.95 | $0.919 | $235.24 | -$14.76 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $310 in October? | No | 479.24 | $0.626 | $218.06 | -$81.94 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 241.55 | $0.828 | $207 | +$7.01 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 219.78 | $0.910 | $205.49 | +$5.49 |
 Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 235.29 | $0.850 | $194.12 | -$5.88 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | No | 244.14 | $0.819 | $78.12 | -$121.88 |
| buy |
| 396.83 |
| $0.882 |
| $350 |
| 7d ago |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Yes | buy | 308.64 | $0.810 | $250 | 7d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?No | buy | 384.9 | $0.779 | $300 | 7d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?Yes | buy | 267.53 | $0.748 | $200 | 13d ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 271.95 | $0.919 | $250 | 13d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14?Yes | buy | 210.75 | $0.949 | $200 | 13d ago |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?No | buy | 401.45 | $0.747 | $300 | 13d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 306.89 | $0.800 | $245.51 | 13d ago |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 560.43 | $0.630 | $353.07 | 17d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | buy | 219.78 | $0.910 | $200 | 17d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?No | buy | 244.14 | $0.819 | $200 | 17d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11?No | buy | 327.87 | $0.610 | $200 | 17d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9?No | buy | 266.74 | $0.937 | $250 | 17d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.840 | $300 | 20d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?Yes | buy | 320.68 | $0.936 | $300 | 20d ago |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 October 5-11?No | buy | 298.51 | $0.670 | $200 | 20d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?Yes | buy | 280.01 | $0.714 | $200 | 20d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 235.29 | $0.850 | $200 | 20d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 326.09 | $0.920 | $300 | 20d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?No | buy | 970.75 | $0.515 | $500 | 24d ago |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $310 in October?No | buy | 479.24 | $0.626 | $300 | 24d ago |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $300 in October?No | buy | 595.34 | $0.772 | $459.87 | 24d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?No | buy | 742.65 | $0.673 | $500 | 24d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETDown | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | 24d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETDown | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | 24d ago |
| Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.7 | $0.034 | $0.67 | 26d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 306.9 | $0.580 | $178 | 27d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 24?No | buy | 175.63 | $0.911 | $160 | Sep 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?No | sell | 350 | $0.470 | $164.6 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 112.68 | $0.710 | $80 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 328.57 | $0.761 | $250 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?No | buy | 334 | $0.749 | $250 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?No | buy | 227.23 | $0.530 | $120.43 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?No | buy | 380.29 | $0.526 | $200 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?No | buy | 280.9 | $0.890 | $250 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?Yes | buy | 328.95 | $0.760 | $250 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?No | buy | 224.72 | $0.890 | $200 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on September 13?Down | buy | 230.77 | $0.650 | $150 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 September 7-13?No | buy | 461.62 | $0.650 | $300 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
 Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?No | buy | 232.96 | $0.859 | $200 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
 Cassis: Mark Lajal vs Daniel MasurMark Lajal | buy | 243.69 | $0.821 | $200 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen KhachanovAlexander Zverev | buy | 210.53 | $0.950 | $200 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Seville: Max Alcala Gurri vs Genaro Alberto OlivieriMax Alcala Gurri | buy | 294.12 | $0.850 | $250 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 312.44 | $0.800 | $250 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 196.1 | $0.765 | $150 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
 Montreux: Simona Waltert vs Dalma GalfiDalma Galfi | buy | 240.96 | $0.830 | $200 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?No | buy | 277.78 | $0.720 | $200 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 10?No | buy | 219.78 | $0.910 | $200 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 347.22 | $0.360 | $125 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.