Latest trade
Feb 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 5:40 PM UTC.
Bright Pioneer AA90 is down $96.46 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Feb 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 5:40 PM UTC.
$1.49 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 27 markets; 34.0% were buys. They run from Feb 15, 2026 UTC to Feb 19, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 8.2 | $0.037 | $0.01 | -$0.29 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?No | sell | 3.66 | $0.280 | $1.02 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-16 20:08 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 17:40 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 17:40 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-16 20:08 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $207.44 and losing ones cost $208.93 across the latest 50 settled positions. 24% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $54.55 on “Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?” (No); the largest loss, $17.38 on “Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 19 Feb 2026. It has traded 329 markets. Its open positions are worth $0.01 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 7.14 |
| $0.150 |
| $1.07 |
| Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.002 | $0.6 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.35 | $0.210 | $1.12 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 54.87 | $0.022 | $1.21 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 23.75 | $0.050 | $1.19 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.017 | $0.71 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.14 | $0.620 | $1.33 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | sell | 30.25 | $0.040 | $1.21 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.96 | $0.760 | $1.49 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.005 | $0.83 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.14 | $0.740 | $1.58 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 214.28 | $0.007 | $1.5 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | sell | 1.93 | $0.890 | $1.72 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 10.58 | $0.190 | $2.01 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.75 | $0.600 | $2.25 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Yes | sell | 4.45 | $0.680 | $3.03 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?No | sell | 4.83 | $0.964 | $4.66 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.993 | $1.24 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | sell | 241.31 | $0.001 | $0.24 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
US strikes Iraq by February 28?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.040 | $0.99 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
US strikes Iraq by February 28?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.060 | $1.5 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.965 | $1.5 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.965 | $1.5 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
US strikes Iraq by February 28?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.054 | $0.81 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
US strikes Iraq by February 28?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.200 | $1.5 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
US strikes Iraq by February 28?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.200 | $1.5 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.260 | $1.44 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.750 | $1.5 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 12.49 | $0.005 | $0.06 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.270 | $1.5 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.750 | $1.5 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 10.05 | $0.007 | $0.07 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 9.8 | $0.005 | $0.05 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.999 | $1.5 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.75 | $0.400 | $1.5 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.14 | $0.700 | $1.5 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.005 | $1.5 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.009 | $1.5 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 1.93 | $0.776 | $1.5 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.26 | $0.994 | $0.26 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | sell | 58.69 | $0.005 | $0.29 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.014 | $1.5 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.69 | $0.024 | $0.02 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.13 | $0.220 | $0.03 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.740 | $0.01 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.995 | $1.5 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.005 | $1.5 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.2 | $0.070 | $0.22 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.