Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 3K | $0.940 | $2.81K | -$15 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | sell | 400 | $0.983 | $393.18 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 330 |
| $0.990 |
| $326.7 |
| Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 3K | $0.940 | $2.82K | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 320 | $0.930 | $297.6 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 2.08K | $0.980 | $2.04K | Jun 24, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes | buy | 1.89K | $0.947 | $1.79K | Jun 10, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.5K | $0.989 | $5.44K | Jun 2, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 255 | $0.950 | $242.25 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 142 | $0.930 | $132.06 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 141 | $0.983 | $138.6 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 125 | $0.950 | $118.75 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?No | buy | 109.11 | $0.944 | $103 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 120 | $0.770 | $92.4 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 91 | $0.970 | $88.27 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 75 | $0.973 | $72.98 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 100 | $0.976 | $97.6 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 55.97 | $0.966 | $54.07 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 64 | $0.988 | $63.23 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No | buy | 64 | $0.922 | $59.01 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?No | buy | 90 | $0.983 | $88.47 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 101 | $0.973 | $98.27 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 150 | $0.995 | $149.25 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?No | buy | 160 | $0.998 | $159.68 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February?No | buy | 74 | $0.990 | $73.26 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 90 | $0.958 | $86.22 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 92 | $0.975 | $89.7 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | buy | 83 | $0.952 | $79.02 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?No | buy | 80 | $0.973 | $77.84 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No | buy | 85 | $0.993 | $84.37 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 90 | $0.984 | $88.56 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.900 | $108 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Aztec FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 90 | $0.983 | $88.47 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Rainbow FDV above $400M one day after launch?No | buy | 100 | $0.983 | $98.3 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?No | sell | 310 | $0.525 | $162.75 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?No | buy | 310 | $0.985 | $305.23 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 309 | $0.996 | $307.76 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?No | buy | 210 | $0.995 | $208.9 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | buy | 100 | $0.992 | $99.2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 160 | $0.989 | $158.24 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 23?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.990 | $148.46 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | buy | 380 | $0.981 | $372.96 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 150 | $0.987 | $148.05 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | buy | 80 | $0.977 | $78.16 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 60 | $0.968 | $58.08 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 60 | $0.930 | $55.8 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Infinex FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | buy | 80 | $0.968 | $77.44 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?No | buy | 470 | $0.985 | $463.07 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?No | buy | 85 | $0.940 | $79.9 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 95 | $0.920 | $87.4 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?No | buy | 80 | $0.970 | $77.59 | Jan 8, 2026 |