Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 27% on 31 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 38 daily closes on record from 31 Dec 2025 to 6 Feb 2026, the highest close was 27% on 31 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 6 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 18% on 1 Jan 2026. $162.05K traded over the market's life.
46 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 8, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 38 points, 31 Dec 2025 – 6 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2025 | 27.0% |
| 6 Feb 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 21.94K |
| acal | Yes | 3.18K |
| Gambo | Yes | 1.01K |
| Nightmarerudx207 | Yes | 928.72 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Rainbow's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Rainbow doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rainbow-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-676
| Crisp-Chaise | Yes | 922.57 |
| Glav-ME | Yes | 666.67 |
| Rundown-Economy | Yes | 502.6 |
| Rural-Diploma | Yes | 502.3 |
| Jade Tide 52A5 | Yes | 360 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 286.39 |
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