Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 111 | $0.080 | $8.88 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 7 |
| $0.940 |
| $6.58 |
| Jun 19, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | buy | 7 | $0.940 | $6.58 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 26 | $0.953 | $24.78 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.974 | $24.35 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 37 | $0.670 | $24.79 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.037 | $1.44 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 24 | $0.690 | $16.56 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 40 | $0.690 | $27.6 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 28 | $0.971 | $27.19 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 26 | $0.956 | $24.86 | May 31, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.300 | $22.5 | May 31, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.300 | $22.5 | May 31, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 29 | $0.967 | $28.04 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.966 | $28.01 | May 29, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.450 | $3.6 | May 29, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 47 | $0.450 | $21.15 | May 29, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.440 | $24.64 | May 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.640 | $24.96 | May 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.610 | $23.79 | May 27, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 87 | $0.133 | $11.57 | May 26, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.530 | $30.74 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Walmart buy TikTok?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.005 | $0.06 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will Walmart buy TikTok?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.005 | $0.03 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Botafogo RJ win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.979 | $1.2 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 11 | $0.986 | $10.85 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Starmer out before July?No | buy | 11 | $0.984 | $10.82 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 11 | $0.991 | $10.9 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 150 times June 6–13?No | sell | 11 | $0.969 | $10.66 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 150 times June 6–13?No | buy | 11 | $0.940 | $10.34 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?No | sell | 11 | $0.984 | $10.82 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 11 | $0.988 | $10.87 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 11 | $0.988 | $10.87 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.979 | $10.77 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.987 | $10.86 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 11 | $0.988 | $10.87 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 11 | $0.979 | $10.77 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?No | buy | 11 | $0.984 | $10.82 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 11 | $0.585 | $6.44 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?No | buy | 7 | $0.965 | $6.76 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will egg prices be less than $4.75 in April?No | buy | 6 | $0.967 | $5.8 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 13 | $0.488 | $6.34 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 7 | $0.948 | $6.64 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 6 | $0.984 | $5.9 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?No | sell | 1 | $0.951 | $0.95 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?No | buy | 7 | $0.957 | $6.7 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?No | sell | 7 | $0.966 | $6.76 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?No | buy | 7 | $0.980 | $6.86 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?No | sell | 6 | $0.928 | $5.57 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?No | buy | 6 | $0.928 | $5.57 | Apr 26, 2025 |