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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.81 | $0.042 | $0.02 | -$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 35 | $0.918 | $32.13 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 3 |
| $0.926 |
| $2.78 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 95 | $0.380 | $36.1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 95 | $0.500 | $47.5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.900 | $24.3 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.330 | $2.31 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.320 | $3.84 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 49 | $0.972 | $47.63 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 17 | $0.810 | $13.77 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.101 | $4.75 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 32 | $0.843 | $26.98 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 32 | $0.851 | $27.23 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.820 | $1.64 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.790 | $45.03 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.040 | $0.44 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 43 | $0.938 | $40.33 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 16.22 | $0.062 | $1.01 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 153 | $0.062 | $9.49 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 45 | $0.981 | $44.14 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No | sell | 2 | $0.760 | $1.52 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 2 | $0.986 | $1.97 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.930 | $37.2 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.920 | $36.8 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No | buy | 2 | $0.780 | $1.56 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 39.81 | $0.042 | $1.67 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.031 | $2.39 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 39 | $0.974 | $37.99 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 39 | $0.959 | $37.4 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 17 | $0.490 | $8.33 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 46 | $0.951 | $43.75 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 46 | $0.949 | $43.65 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 63 | $0.640 | $40.32 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 63 | $0.640 | $40.32 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 41 | $0.690 | $28.29 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 57 | $0.772 | $44 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.029 | $0.44 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.029 | $0.84 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.027 | $0.62 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 48 | $0.027 | $1.3 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 22 | $0.974 | $21.43 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 126 | $0.029 | $3.65 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 29 | $0.962 | $27.9 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 29 | $0.961 | $27.87 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?No | sell | 28 | $0.989 | $27.69 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 29 | $0.966 | $28.01 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 29 | $0.966 | $28.01 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?No | sell | 21 | $0.967 | $20.31 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 29 | $0.967 | $28.04 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No | sell | 28 | $0.995 | $27.86 | Sep 29, 2025 |