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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 242.75 | $0.081 | $9.59 | -$10.01 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.023 | $0.58 | Jul 5, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 27.93 |
| $0.251 |
| $6.28 |
| -$0.72 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.250 | $1.3 | -$3.7 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 62.96 | $0.079 | $1.07 | -$3.93 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.340 | $0.74 | -$1.26 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 12.22 | $0.164 | $0.47 | -$1.53 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 21.43 | $0.140 | $0.37 | -$2.63 |
| buy |
| 97.3 |
| $0.037 |
| $3.6 |
| Jul 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 4.44 | $0.990 | $4.4 | May 9, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 62.96 | $0.079 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 145.45 | $0.110 | $16 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 189.6 | $0.009 | $1.68 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | sell | 11.15 | $0.150 | $1.67 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.023 | $2 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 88.51 | $0.023 | $2 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | buy | 11.15 | $0.130 | $1.45 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.023 | $5 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.022 | $5 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.19 | $0.620 | $15 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.320 | $4 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.61 | $0.460 | $15 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 28.53 | $0.320 | $9.13 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 23.5 | $0.250 | $5.88 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 57 | $0.500 | $28.5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 18.42 | $0.530 | $9.76 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 23.5 | $0.360 | $8.46 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 34.88 | $0.430 | $15 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 40.54 | $0.370 | $15 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.250 | $15 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 51.13 | $0.160 | $8.18 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Solana above $240 on December 13?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Ethereum all time high in 2024?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Dec 9, 2024 |