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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.47 | $0.952 | $0.46 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 24 | $0.968 | $23.23 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 24 |
| $0.961 |
| $23.06 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 38 | $0.530 | $20.14 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 82 | $0.580 | $47.56 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 54 | $0.850 | $45.9 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.040 | $0.08 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 53 | $0.952 | $50.46 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 47 | $0.973 | $45.73 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 102 | $0.500 | $51 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 102 | $0.500 | $51 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.041 | $1.23 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.039 | $1.17 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 160 | $0.013 | $2.08 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.013 | $2.08 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 174 | $0.045 | $7.83 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 176 | $0.045 | $7.92 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 162 | $0.054 | $8.75 | May 29, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 179 | $0.054 | $9.67 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 94 | $0.070 | $6.58 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 134 | $0.070 | $9.38 | May 29, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 84 | $0.560 | $47.04 | May 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.760 | $10.64 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.770 | $10.78 | May 28, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 96 | $0.041 | $3.94 | May 28, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 115 | $0.050 | $5.75 | May 27, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 154 | $0.046 | $7.08 | May 27, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 93 | $0.313 | $29.11 | May 26, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 93 | $0.305 | $28.37 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 5 | $0.994 | $4.97 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.010 | $0.1 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.062 | $0.06 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.022 | $0.73 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 2 | $0.925 | $1.85 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 46 | $0.992 | $45.63 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 46 | $0.993 | $45.68 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 49 | $0.022 | $1.08 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 54 | $0.028 | $1.51 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.013 | $0.47 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.022 | $0.51 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.019 | $1.14 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 20 | $0.994 | $19.88 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 19 | $0.994 | $18.89 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 6 | $0.913 | $5.48 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 5 | $0.993 | $4.97 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 51 | $0.994 | $50.69 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 57 | $0.981 | $55.92 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 6 | $0.928 | $5.57 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 160 | $0.007 | $1.12 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.006 | $0.26 | Aug 10, 2025 |