Latest trade
Aug 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 1:15 PM UTC.
hb408 is down $2.76K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 1:15 PM UTC.
$11.35 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 17 markets; 52.0% were buys. They run from May 7, 2026 UTC to Aug 4, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iran leadership change by August 31?Yes | sell | 146.96 | $0.020 | $2.94 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
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Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 09:15 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 13:15 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 13:15 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-01 06:08 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $5.99K and losing ones cost $6.55K across the latest 50 settled positions. 24% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $4.54K on “Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.17K on “Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?” (Yes).
It first traded on 24 Jan 2026 and most recently on 4 Aug 2026, 81 days ago. It has traded 648 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 146.95 |
| $0.020 |
| $2.97 |
| Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
Iran leadership change by August 31?Yes | buy | 293.91 | $0.044 | $13 | Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 27.02 | $0.351 | $9.48 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Yes | sell | 3.12 | $0.190 | $0.59 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?Yes | sell | 3.84 | $0.300 | $1.15 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 15-21?Yes | sell | 21.12 | $0.101 | $2.13 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 15-21?Yes | buy | 21.13 | $0.186 | $3.93 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.185 | $5 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | buy | 23.46 | $0.327 | $7.67 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Yes | sell | 25.92 | $0.280 | $7.26 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Yes | buy | 25.93 | $0.540 | $14 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.18K | $0.047 | $55.56 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.18K | $0.047 | $55.56 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 39.67 | $0.076 | $3 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.24K | $0.072 | $90 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 178.57 | $0.520 | $92.86 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.560 | $100 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 934.34 | $0.068 | $64 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 146.34 | $0.041 | $6 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 154.03 | $0.031 | $4.77 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 154.04 | $0.052 | $8 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.487 | $8.11 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.360 | $6 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | sell | 646.99 | $0.040 | $25.97 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | sell | 259.83 | $0.052 | $13.54 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | sell | 66.34 | $0.056 | $3.72 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 30.13 | $0.710 | $21.39 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 30.14 | $0.730 | $22 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.056 | $60 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.046 | $2 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | sell | 46.63 | $0.043 | $2.01 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | buy | 46.63 | $0.080 | $3.73 | May 14, 2026 UTC |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.49 | $0.660 | $0.98 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | sell | 866.66 | $0.050 | $43.33 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | buy | 866.67 | $0.060 | $52 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | sell | 1.05K | $0.050 | $52.27 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.060 | $63 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
Will Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC end in a draw?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.310 | $22.14 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington NationalsWashington Nationals | sell | 83.33 | $0.320 | $26.67 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
Texas Rangers vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees | sell | 31.74 | $0.400 | $12.7 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington NationalsWashington Nationals | buy | 83.33 | $0.540 | $45 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington NationalsMinnesota Twins | sell | 43.47 | $0.410 | $17.82 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
Will Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.420 | $30 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington NationalsMinnesota Twins | buy | 43.48 | $0.690 | $30 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
Texas Rangers vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees | buy | 31.75 | $0.630 | $20 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.