Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No | buy | 601 | $0.083 | $49.88 | Apr 13, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 646 |
| $0.988 |
| $638.25 |
| Apr 13, 2026 |
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.944 | $37.76 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.33K | $0.021 | $27.97 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 718 | $0.978 | $702.2 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 718 | $0.976 | $700.77 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 78 | $0.023 | $1.79 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.69K | $0.024 | $40.47 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.46K | $0.023 | $56.49 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 602 | $0.978 | $588.76 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 669 | $0.949 | $634.88 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2.49K | $0.022 | $54.82 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.49K | $0.022 | $54.82 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 656 | $0.967 | $634.35 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 507 | $0.973 | $493.31 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 723 | $0.966 | $698.42 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.36K | $0.016 | $21.79 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.016 | $21.79 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.33K | $0.014 | $18.66 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Trump out as President by April 30?Yes | sell | 1.34K | $0.015 | $20.1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Trump out as President by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.34K | $0.018 | $24.12 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?Yes | sell | 79 | $0.017 | $1.34 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.018 | $0.59 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?No | buy | 5 | $0.944 | $4.72 | Jun 22, 2025 |
Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.964 | $4.82 | Jun 22, 2025 |
Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | Jun 20, 2025 |
Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 45 | $0.992 | $44.64 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 13–20?No | sell | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 45 | $0.992 | $44.64 | Jun 18, 2025 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?No | buy | 8 | $0.959 | $7.67 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 27 | $0.988 | $26.68 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 National League Championship?Yes | sell | 123 | $0.016 | $1.97 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.988 | $26.68 | Jun 15, 2025 |
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.009 | $0.4 | Jun 14, 2025 |
Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 42 | $0.993 | $41.71 | Jun 13, 2025 |
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 43 | $0.992 | $42.66 | Jun 12, 2025 |
Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% or less in May?No | buy | 5 | $0.959 | $4.8 | Jun 11, 2025 |
Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 5 | $0.973 | $4.87 | Jun 10, 2025 |
Will Josh Gottheimer win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?No | buy | 45 | $0.978 | $44.01 | Jun 10, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?No | sell | 45 | $0.986 | $44.37 | Jun 10, 2025 |
Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.947 | $4.73 | Jun 7, 2025 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on August 15?No | sell | 5 | $0.948 | $4.74 | Jun 7, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?No | buy | 45 | $0.985 | $44.33 | Jun 7, 2025 |
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 18 | $0.405 | $7.29 | Jun 6, 2025 |
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 113 | $0.314 | $35.48 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 36 | $0.975 | $35.11 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 36 | $0.980 | $35.28 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.977 | $9.77 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 27 | $0.995 | $26.87 | Jun 4, 2025 |