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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.023 | $0.41 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 64 |
| $0.200 |
| $12.8 |
| Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | buy | 62 | $0.930 | $57.66 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | sell | 27 | $0.965 | $26.06 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | buy | 27 | $0.966 | $26.08 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 65 | $0.973 | $63.25 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 63 | $0.910 | $57.33 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | sell | 50 | $0.980 | $49 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 67 | $0.978 | $65.53 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?No | sell | 66 | $0.988 | $65.21 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 66 | $0.988 | $65.21 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 89 | $0.660 | $58.74 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.470 | $10.81 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 126 | $0.440 | $55.44 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 74 | $0.320 | $23.68 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.320 | $5.76 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 69 | $0.807 | $55.68 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.310 | $31 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 46 | $0.450 | $20.7 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.310 | $2.48 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.043 | $0.26 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.021 | $1.32 | May 31, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 89 | $0.630 | $56.07 | May 31, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 58 | $0.949 | $55.04 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 56 | $0.989 | $55.38 | May 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 94 | $0.590 | $55.46 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 56 | $0.985 | $55.16 | May 28, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 101 | $0.105 | $10.61 | May 27, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 102 | $0.570 | $58.14 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.041 | $3.16 | May 26, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 13 | $0.540 | $7.02 | May 26, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 12 | $0.590 | $7.08 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 6 | $0.954 | $5.72 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 87 | $0.021 | $1.83 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 54 | $0.955 | $51.57 | May 23, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.510 | $7.65 | May 21, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 56.98 | $0.016 | $0.91 | May 21, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 95 | $0.720 | $68.4 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 64 | $0.960 | $61.44 | May 19, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 26 | $0.550 | $14.3 | May 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.047 | $4.14 | May 18, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | sell | 72 | $0.953 | $68.62 | May 18, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 72 | $0.953 | $68.62 | May 18, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 138 | $0.034 | $4.69 | May 17, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 71 | $0.968 | $68.73 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 63 | $0.985 | $62.06 | May 16, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.977 | $48.85 | May 16, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 70 | $0.977 | $68.39 | May 15, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?Yes | sell | 87 | $0.012 | $1.04 | May 15, 2026 |