Latest trade
Oct 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 11:32 AM UTC.
Analytics
Golden Ledger 488B has made $4.09 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-17 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 11:32 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 49 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Sep 30, 2026 UTC to Oct 22, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | Yes | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $517.50 Week of October 19 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 19 2026?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | 14m ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-17 07:19 UTC
Polymarket public position response
10 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 11:32 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 11:32 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-17 07:19 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $47.35 and losing ones cost $37.97 across the latest 50 settled positions. 46% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $4.92 on “US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?” (Yes); the largest loss, $2.16 on “Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 22 Oct 2026. It has traded 135 markets. Its open positions are worth $6.4 across 10 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1.43 |
| $0.700 |
| $1.02 |
| +$0.02 |
 Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? | No | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | $0 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 24? | Yes | 1.56 | $0.640 | $0.78 | -$0.22 |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.270 | $0.74 | -$0.26 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 19 2026? | No | 3.03 | $0.330 | $0.56 | -$0.44 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18? | No | 3.03 | $0.330 | $0.52 | -$0.48 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | Yes | 1.39 | $0.720 | $0.24 | -$0.76 |
 Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of October 19 2026? | Yes | 4.17 | $0.240 | $0.23 | -$0.77 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? | Yes | 1.49 | $0.670 | $0.16 | -$0.84 |
| buy |
| 1.3 |
| $0.770 |
| $1 |
| 13h ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | 21h ago |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 24?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | 1d ago |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?Up | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | 1d ago |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 20?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $517.50 Week of October 19 2026?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of October 19 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 19 2026?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | 3d ago |
 Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | 5d ago |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16?Down | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | 5d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16?Down | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | 6d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?Down | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | 6d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 12 2026?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 12 2026?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | 7d ago |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of October 12 2026?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | 8d ago |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 13?Down | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | 9d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 13?Up | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | 9d ago |
 Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $182.50 Week of October 12 2026?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | 9d ago |
 Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 12?Up | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 12 2026?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | 10d ago |
 Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | 10d ago |
 Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | 11d ago |
 Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.2B?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | 11d ago |
 Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | 12d ago |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9?Up | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | 13d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | 13d ago |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 8?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.669 | $1 | 13d ago |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8?Up | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | 15d ago |
 Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | 15d ago |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | 15d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $517.50 Week of October 5 2026?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | 16d ago |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | 16d ago |
 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of October 5 2026?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | 17d ago |
 Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | 17d ago |
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | 19d ago |
| Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | 20d ago |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $228 Week of September 28 2026?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | 20d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 1?Down | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | 21d ago |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of September 28 2026?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | 21d ago |
3 of 5 axes ranked against the 108 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 3 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.