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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 45 | $0.920 | $41.4 | May 27, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 9 |
| $0.920 |
| $8.28 |
| May 27, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.958 | $9.58 | May 25, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.500 | $6.5 | May 25, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 49 | $0.930 | $45.57 | May 24, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 49 | $0.930 | $45.57 | May 23, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 8 | $0.560 | $4.48 | May 23, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 82 | $0.560 | $45.92 | May 23, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 43 | $0.956 | $41.11 | May 22, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 29.37 | $0.450 | $13.22 | May 21, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.410 | $18.04 | May 21, 2026 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 7 | $0.835 | $5.85 | Sep 10, 2025 |
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 3 | $0.982 | $2.95 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 5 | $0.994 | $4.97 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 7 | $0.908 | $6.36 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 5 | $0.989 | $4.95 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 5 | $0.989 | $4.95 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 78°F or higher on August 5?No | buy | 6 | $0.993 | $5.96 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 6 | $0.958 | $5.75 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 6 | $0.991 | $5.95 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 5 | $0.973 | $4.87 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 6 | $0.939 | $5.63 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | buy | 6 | $0.966 | $5.8 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will John Finucane win the Irish Presidential Election?No | buy | 5 | $0.993 | $4.97 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 5 | $0.975 | $4.88 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 5 | $0.975 | $4.88 | Aug 3, 2025 |
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 5 | $0.945 | $4.73 | Aug 3, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.988 | $4.94 | Aug 2, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.989 | $4.95 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.046 | $1.38 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.047 | $0.33 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 59 | $0.048 | $2.83 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 6 | $0.981 | $5.89 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will Trump announce Michelle Bowman as next Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 6 | $0.985 | $5.91 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will Trump announce Michelle Bowman as next Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 6 | $0.989 | $5.93 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 6 | $0.993 | $5.96 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 6 | $0.991 | $5.95 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 6 | $0.944 | $5.66 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 6 | $0.948 | $5.69 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?No | sell | 8 | $0.822 | $6.58 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?No | buy | 8 | $0.813 | $6.5 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 64 | $0.983 | $62.91 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship?No | sell | 5 | $0.908 | $4.54 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 59 | $0.990 | $58.41 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 21 | $0.968 | $20.33 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship?No | buy | 5 | $0.908 | $4.54 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 45 | $0.977 | $43.96 | Jul 30, 2025 |