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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | No | 123.87 | $0.993 | $122.94 | -$0.06 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 123.87 | $0.993 | $123 | 3h ago |
|
| No |
| 91.57 |
| $0.983 |
| $89.28 |
| -$0.72 |
| buy |
| 91.57 |
| $0.983 |
| $90 |
| 3h ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?No | buy | 91.84 | $0.980 | $90 | 19d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 132.25 | $0.983 | $130 | 19d ago |
 World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?No | buy | 107.58 | $0.976 | $105 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No | buy | 112.8 | $0.984 | $111 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 141.27 | $0.991 | $140 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 161.62 | $0.990 | $160 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?No | buy | 152.13 | $0.986 | $150 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?No | buy | 181.82 | $0.990 | $180 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 110 | $0.994 | $109.34 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No | buy | 223.58 | $0.984 | $220 | May 11, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 158.91 | $0.975 | $155 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 173.12 | $0.982 | $170 | May 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 222.67 | $0.988 | $220 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12?Down | buy | 202.1 | $0.988 | $199.65 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will France strike Iran by April 30?No | buy | 156.3 | $0.992 | $155 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?No | buy | 172.59 | $0.985 | $170 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No | buy | 324.27 | $0.993 | $322 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 March 2-8?No | buy | 319.2 | $0.990 | $316 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?Yes | buy | 117.35 | $0.980 | $115 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 161.29 | $0.992 | $160 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of February?No | buy | 270.52 | $0.987 | $267 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,900 February 2-8?No | buy | 150.75 | $0.995 | $150 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 60.67 | $0.989 | $60 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by March 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.963 | $48.15 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Chainlink hit $23 in January?No | buy | 375.78 | $0.990 | $372 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 143.7 | $0.974 | $140 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 298.58 | $0.988 | $295 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?No | buy | 229.51 | $0.915 | $210 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 307.48 | $0.976 | $300 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 212.82 | $0.987 | $210 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani get 65% or more of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 501.5 | $0.999 | $501 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani get 65% or more of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 501.5 | $0.997 | $500 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in October 2025?No | buy | 373.12 | $0.997 | $372 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 207.68 | $0.988 | $205.21 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 207.68 | $0.963 | $200 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on October 3?No | buy | 180.36 | $0.998 | $180 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 117.02 | $0.940 | $110 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 192.11 | $0.989 | $190 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Base airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 232.79 | $0.988 | $230 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 50 and 59?Yes | buy | 55.11 | $0.998 | $55 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $117K on August 5 at 5PM ET?No | buy | 418.35 | $0.992 | $415 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 8?No | buy | 55.33 | $0.994 | $55 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,500 on July 14?Yes | buy | 272.45 | $0.991 | $270 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $105K on July 14?No | buy | 210.63 | $0.997 | $210 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $43M?No | buy | 453.27 | $0.995 | $451 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $4.0 in June?No | sell | 171.02 | $0.999 | $170.85 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by June 30?No | sell | 241.69 | $0.996 | $240.76 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will XRP reach $4.0 in June?No | buy | 171.03 | $0.994 | $170 | Jun 14, 2025 |