Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 5% on 25 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 78 daily closes on record from 25 Mar 2026 to 1 Jul 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 5.1% on 9 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 23 Jun 2026. $954.08K traded over the market's life.
220 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 11:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 78 points, 25 Mar 2026 – 1 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Mar 2026 | 5.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Sick-Opossum | Yes | 5K |
| Golden Meteor F648 | Yes | 3.16K |
| Hector4you | Yes | 2.07K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity, will be, has been, or is entering into an agreement to acquire OnlyFans (or its parent company) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in OnlyFans (or its parent company) by Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count. An announcement of a qualifying acquisition by Elon Musk, OnlyFans, or their parent entities will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition actually occurs. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by Elon Musk; his involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify only if the transaction results in a controlling interest as defined above. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Elon Musk and/or OnlyFans, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-elon-musk-buy-onlyfans
| Yes |
| 1.66K |
| ZetaUnnamed | Yes | 1.38K |
| Keen Harbor FDA4 | Yes | 1K |
| Kooky-Drill | Yes | 932.86 |
| Bland-Retention | Yes | 833.33 |
| wdjujik85 | Yes | 801.46 |
| TruePoliticsMan | Yes | 776.08 |
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