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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | No | 15.15 | $0.330 | $11.21 | +$6.21 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?Yes | buy | 7.93 | $0.290 | $2.3 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 6.25 |
| $0.800 |
| $6.07 |
| +$1.07 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 90.91 | $0.110 | $5.91 | -$4.09 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 75 | $0.200 | $5.48 | -$9.53 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 10 | $0.510 | $4.98 | -$0.13 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 31.43 | $0.350 | $4.54 | -$6.46 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | Yes | 23.4 | $0.470 | $3.51 | -$7.49 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 73.33 | $0.150 | $1.28 | -$9.72 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | No | 16.13 | $0.310 | $0.52 | -$4.48 |
| buy |
| 26.32 |
| $0.190 |
| $5 |
| Feb 23, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?No | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 25.53 | $0.570 | $14.55 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | buy | 9.51 | $0.650 | $6.18 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 14, 2026?No | buy | 14.67 | $0.750 | $11 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 US strikes Iraq by February 28?No | buy | 11.83 | $0.930 | $11 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 27.95 | $0.716 | $20 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?No | sell | 21.73 | $0.949 | $20.62 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the Netherlands join the Board of Peace?No | sell | 10.63 | $0.952 | $10.12 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?No | sell | 17.48 | $0.998 | $17.45 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 15.08 | $0.830 | $12.52 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 60.91 | $0.110 | $6.7 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No | buy | 750 | $0.004 | $3 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 17.54 | $0.390 | $6.84 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | sell | 33.89 | $0.530 | $17.96 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 5.35K | $0.007 | $37.45 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 46.03 | $0.800 | $36.82 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | buy | 9.2 | $0.837 | $7.7 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | buy | 15.32 | $0.718 | $11 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?No | buy | 17.48 | $0.572 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?No | buy | 26.11 | $0.038 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 27.17 | $0.995 | $27.03 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 33.9 | $0.590 | $20 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 27.17 | $0.920 | $25 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | sell | 59.76 | $0.850 | $50.8 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?Yes | sell | 1.58 | $0.998 | $1.58 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?No | buy | 4.82 | $0.850 | $4.1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Yes | buy | 23.4 | $0.470 | $11 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Eight Wars" or "Eight Peace Deals" during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Beautiful" 5+ times during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Peace" 20+ times during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | buy | 33.9 | $0.590 | $20 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.690 | $15 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?No | buy | 73.5 | $0.272 | $20 | Jan 21, 2026 |