Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.65K | $0.020 | $33 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 263 |
| $0.950 |
| $249.85 |
| Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?Yes | buy | 338 | $0.010 | $3.38 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $115K in July?No | buy | 1K | $0.540 | $540 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran in July?No | sell | 969.06 | $0.805 | $779.83 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before July?No | sell | 10.86 | $0.983 | $10.68 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Israel military action against Iran in July?No | buy | 23 | $0.790 | $18.17 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel military action against Iran in July?No | buy | 200 | $0.790 | $158 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran by Sunday?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.035 | $40 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by Sunday?Yes | buy | 2.24K | $0.045 | $100 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 US forces in Iran before August?Yes | buy | 1.24K | $0.132 | $164 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?Yes | buy | 1.39K | $0.180 | $250 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 923.08 | $0.130 | $120 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.010 | $20 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Israel military action against Iran in July?No | buy | 677.06 | $0.295 | $200 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before July?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran by Sunday?Yes | buy | 986.59 | $0.101 | $100 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 196.56 | $0.764 | $150.17 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?No | buy | 387.79 | $0.747 | $289.84 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.014 | $7 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Elon say "Billion" 10 or more times during their Feb 18 interview?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.008 | $0.42 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Elon say "Billion" 10 or more times during their Feb 18 interview?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.006 | $1.7 | Feb 20, 2025 |