Latest trade
Aug 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 5:24 AM UTC.
Analytics
Royal Kestrel 2F78 is down $58.65 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 5:24 AM UTC.
$8.78 median trade
Its latest 400 trades covered 280 markets; 78.8% were buys. They run from Mar 9, 2026 UTC to Aug 3, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 11.62 | $0.430 | $10.17 | +$5.17 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?No | sell | 15.15 | $0.180 | $2.73 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
|
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-20 01:41 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-20 05:24 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
400 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-20 05:24 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-06 15:26 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $76.81 and losing ones cost $21.15 across the latest 50 settled positions. 68% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $13.96 on “St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals” (Kansas City Royals); the largest loss, $8.44 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET” (Down).
It first traded on 26 Jan 2026 and most recently on 3 Aug 2026, 77 days ago. It has traded 350 markets. Its open positions are worth $10.48 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 13.37 |
| $0.090 |
| $0.31 |
| -$0.89 |
| buy |
| 6.14 |
| $0.900 |
| $5.53 |
| Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 43.07 | $0.080 | $3.45 | Jul 25, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 5.42 | $0.900 | $4.88 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 56.44 | $0.090 | $5.08 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?No | sell | 2.44 | $0.480 | $1.17 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?No | sell | 8.92 | $0.460 | $4.1 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 38%-40%?Yes | buy | 13.29 | $0.380 | $5.05 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | sell | 33.4 | $0.220 | $7.35 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 33.41 | $0.170 | $5.68 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
 France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 14.88 | $0.597 | $8.89 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 9.07 | $0.607 | $5.51 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?No | sell | 15.3 | $0.400 | $6.12 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.05 | $0.955 | $4.82 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.49 | $0.760 | $7.21 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 10.09 | $0.992 | $10.01 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?No | buy | 15.3 | $0.420 | $6.43 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 10.09 | $0.985 | $9.94 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?Yes | buy | 5.9 | $0.972 | $5.73 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q2 total service revenues be above $19.1B?No | buy | 11.45 | $0.440 | $5.04 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?No | sell | 4.8 | $0.964 | $4.63 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?No | sell | 5.14 | $0.986 | $5.07 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?No | sell | 14.06 | $0.962 | $13.53 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?No | sell | 10.09 | $0.984 | $9.93 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?No | buy | 4.81 | $0.960 | $4.62 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?No | buy | 7.03 | $0.966 | $6.79 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.966 | $6.8 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?No | buy | 10.09 | $0.979 | $9.88 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?No | buy | 5.14 | $0.986 | $5.07 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
 Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs | buy | 3.98 | $0.900 | $3.58 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Chicago Cubs vs. New York MetsChicago Cubs | buy | 14.39 | $0.690 | $9.93 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh PiratesSeattle Mariners | buy | 6.71 | $0.750 | $5.03 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under | buy | 12.46 | $0.710 | $8.85 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
| Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays | buy | 7.47 | $0.450 | $3.36 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.950 | $4.8 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No | sell | 7.14 | $0.985 | $7.03 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City RoyalsKansas City Royals | buy | 19.83 | $0.290 | $5.75 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No | buy | 35.89 | $0.270 | $9.69 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesSan Francisco Giants | buy | 8.48 | $0.589 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays | buy | 7.92 | $0.630 | $4.99 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
| San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under | buy | 7.56 | $0.620 | $4.69 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?No | sell | 5.61 | $0.670 | $3.76 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
 Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks | buy | 17.77 | $0.530 | $9.42 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
| Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers | buy | 17.65 | $0.510 | $9 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
| Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco GiantsWashington Nationals | buy | 8.57 | $0.740 | $6.34 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.