Analytics
Yes is at 87%, up 15 points from 72% when the market opened on 16 Jul 2026.
Across the 104 daily closes on record from 16 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 88% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 64.5% on 17 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 84.5%; a month before, 82.5%. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 77.5% on 20 Jul 2026.
Drake is the favourite of the 11 outcomes in “Top US Spotify Artist 2026”, ahead of Taylor Swift at 5.3%.
$136.83 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $79.78K since listing. The order book holds $6.49K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $5.85K bought Yes and $1.05K bought No; the largest was a $1.21K buy of Yes at 81.0¢.
The largest Yes position is buoys with 2.5K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 3.3K. Ten wallets hold 87.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Dec 2026, 62 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 104 points, 16 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 50%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jul 2026 | 72.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 87.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.26K |
| buoys | Yes | 2.53K |
| oliman2 | Yes | 1.74K |
Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist in the US for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist in the US of 2026. If multiple artists tie for top artist in the US for 2026, this market will resolve according to the artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify does not release who their top artist in the US for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. Note: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/top-us-artist-2026-20260714171850366
| TheWindKnowsmyName |
| No |
| 655.65 |
| zhyfacai | Yes | 358 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | No | 309 |
| macrosteaks | No | 274.52 |
| Ross1212 | Yes | 245.04 |
| pengu-n | Yes | 219.69 |
| DuneMentat | Yes | 175 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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