Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.946 | $1.07 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.38 |
| $0.982 |
| $1.36 |
| Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 19.05 | $0.870 | $16.57 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 19.06 | $0.880 | $16.77 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.958 | $1.09 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Daniel Day-Lewis win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 1 | $0.971 | $0.97 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Daniel Day-Lewis win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.960 | $1.11 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 5.96 | $0.250 | $1.49 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 5.97 | $0.320 | $1.91 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.992 | $1.37 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.880 | $0.99 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will the Gaza–Israel conflict be the #1 searched news on Google this year?No | sell | 1.52 | $0.610 | $0.93 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.940 | $1.06 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will the Gaza–Israel conflict be the #1 searched news on Google this year?No | buy | 1.53 | $0.700 | $1.07 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?No | sell | 1.22 | $0.940 | $1.15 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.956 | $1.17 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Jaime Mulet win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 1.38 | $0.999 | $1.38 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?Yes | sell | 1.48 | $0.958 | $1.42 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.48 | $0.978 | $1.45 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Jay-Z be named in the Epstein survivors' list?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.920 | $1.29 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Jay-Z be named in the Epstein survivors' list?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.950 | $1.33 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 1.36 | $0.955 | $1.3 | Sep 4, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.948 | $1.29 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.920 | $1.24 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Jaime Mulet win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.998 | $1.38 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | sell | 1.46 | $0.958 | $1.4 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.958 | $1.4 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Missing Epstein cell footage released by August 31?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.976 | $1.03 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Missing Epstein cell footage released by August 31?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.973 | $1.04 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.880 | $1.14 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.890 | $1.15 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.930 | $1.26 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.946 | $1.32 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.997 | $1.39 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | sell | 5.59 | $0.520 | $2.91 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 5.6 | $0.890 | $4.98 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump attend NATO Summit?Yes | buy | 2.68 | $0.994 | $2.66 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by June 30?No | sell | 0.28 | $0.995 | $0.28 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.730 | $1.02 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Trump blames Biden for Iran-Israel escalation by Friday?No | buy | 2.77 | $0.840 | $2.33 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.750 | $1.05 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Boxing: Sonny Bill Williams vs. Paul GallenSBW | sell | 1.48 | $0.570 | $0.84 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.969 | $1.03 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Solana Up or Down on May 29?Down | buy | 3 | $0.510 | $1.53 | May 27, 2025 |
| Boxing: Sonny Bill Williams vs. Paul GallenSBW | buy | 1.48 | $0.930 | $1.38 | May 23, 2025 |
| Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.990 | $1.39 | May 18, 2025 |
 Shedeur Sanders traded before Week 1?No | sell | 0.29 | $0.940 | $0.27 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.934 | $1.26 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.965 | $1.31 | May 12, 2025 |