Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 22.99 | $0.870 | $22.09 | +$2.09 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ethereum flipped in 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 11.24 |
| $0.890 |
| $10.8 |
| +$0.8 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 5.36 | $0.932 | $5.13 | +$0.13 |
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | 5.62 | $0.890 | $2.39 | -$2.61 |
| buy |
| 5.62 |
| $0.890 |
| $5 |
| Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 5.36 | $0.932 | $5 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 6.87 | $0.728 | $5 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 15.61 | $0.961 | $15 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | sell | 10.86 | $0.950 | $10.32 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 30 | $0.985 | $29.55 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 32 | $0.987 | $31.58 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | sell | 22 | $0.989 | $21.76 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 32 | $0.983 | $31.46 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 35 | $0.966 | $33.81 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 22 | $0.971 | $21.36 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.966 | $19.32 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)T1 | buy | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Lakers vs. TimberwolvesLakers | buy | 30.93 | $0.970 | $30 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Jiangxi Open: Ella Seidel vs Tamara KorpatschSeidel | buy | 33.71 | $0.890 | $30 | Oct 29, 2025 |