Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 59.5%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 3 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 144 daily closes on record from 3 Jan 2026 to 5 Jun 2026 (10 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 67% on 25 Feb 2026 and the lowest 13% on 24 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 66.5% on 6 Feb 2026. $607.66K traded over the market's life.
252 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 6, 9:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 144 points, 3 Jan 2026 – 5 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | 16.5% |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 59.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pako | No | 21.28K |
| Limp-Jicama | No | 9.97K |
| wttg | No | 5.5K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ethereum (ETH) is not the second or first largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization at any point between January 1, and December 31, 2026 ET, according to CoinGecko. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be CoinGecko. If CoinGecko becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source will be chosen. If there is ambiguity, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eth-flipped-in-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 3.15K |
| Blindchameleon | No | 3K |
| 1337hax | No | 2.7K |
| VibeyQuant | No | 2.48K |
| huanghao | No | 2.3K |
| Fussy-Hippodrome | No | 2.22K |
| starmine777 | No | 2.09K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
