Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 68 | $0.088 | $5.24 | -$0.75 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 10.01 |
| $0.425 |
| $4.75 |
| +$0.5 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.500 | $4.68 | +$2.18 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 29 | $0.198 | $2.76 | -$2.98 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.480 | $2.68 | +$0.28 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.480 | $2.55 | -$2.25 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 5.01 | $0.373 | $2.52 | +$0.65 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 35 | $0.130 | $2.28 | -$2.28 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 5 | $0.410 | $1.33 | -$0.73 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 5 | $0.207 | $0.98 | -$0.06 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.500 | $0.33 | -$2.18 |
 Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5 | $0.007 | $0 | -$0.03 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.695 |
| $3.47 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.233 | $1.17 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.207 | $1.04 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.373 | $1.87 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.080 | $1.04 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.150 | $1.05 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.200 | $4.6 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.130 | $4.55 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.090 | $4.95 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.209 | $4.6 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.150 | $4.95 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.150 | $1.05 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 53.57 | $0.280 | $15 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.280 | $14 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 275.8 | $0.270 | $74.47 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 48.69 | $0.047 | $2.29 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 51.72 | $0.290 | $15 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 51.72 | $0.290 | $15 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 51.72 | $0.290 | $15 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 51.72 | $0.290 | $15 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.610 | $15.25 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.360 | $9 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.620 | $15.5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.360 | $9 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 629.09 | $0.083 | $52.21 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 24.02 | $0.105 | $2.51 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 22.98 | $0.916 | $21.05 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 52.15 | $0.238 | $12.41 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 144.86 | $0.272 | $39.4 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.41K | $0.052 | $73.22 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 341.55 | $0.054 | $18.32 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 477.55 | $0.110 | $52.59 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 33.59 | $0.130 | $4.37 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 90.39 | $0.270 | $24.41 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 36.8 | $0.160 | $5.89 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | sell | 687.18 | $0.110 | $75.59 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 57.69 | $0.260 | $15 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 30 | $0.145 | $4.35 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 24.99 | $0.250 | $6.25 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.55 | $0.270 | $15 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 73.62 | $0.148 | $10.9 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 77.31 | $0.194 | $14.97 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 24.99 | $0.173 | $4.32 | Apr 23, 2026 |