Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 5:45 PM UTC.
Analytics
uprun has made $12.35 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 23 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 5:45 PM UTC.
$7 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 30 markets; 74.0% were buys. They run from Oct 20, 2026 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on October 23, 2026? | Yes | 21 | $0.370 | $17.01 | +$9.24 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 10.16 | $0.650 | $6.6 | 10h ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 07:36 UTC
Polymarket public position response
18 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 17:45 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 17:45 UTC
polymarket positions
25 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 07:36 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $51.05 and losing ones cost $15.86 across 23 settled positions. 52.2% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $18.92 on “Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?” (Yes); the largest loss, $9.2 on “Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 41 markets. Its open positions are worth $81.98 across 18 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 21 |
| $0.650 |
| $10.4 |
| -$3.26 |
 Will Doug Morneau win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? | No | 21 | $0.560 | $9.56 | -$2.21 |
 Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30, 2027? | No | 21 | $0.490 | $9.14 | -$1.16 |
 Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be between 3% and 5%? | No | 20 | $0.420 | $7.9 | -$0.5 |
 Will AP call US House control by November 4, 3:59 AM? | No | 29.3 | $0.163 | $5.27 | +$0.5 |
 Will Alexi Giannoulias win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election? | No | 21 | $0.270 | $4.73 | -$0.95 |
 Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M? | No | 21 | $0.260 | $4.2 | -$1.26 |
 Will Jackson Olson be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? | No | 10.03 | $0.390 | $3.86 | -$0.05 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027? | No | 4.95 | $0.710 | $3.02 | -$0.5 |
 Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | No | 1.98 | $0.450 | $1.97 | +$1.08 |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.290 | $1.3 | -$4.5 |
 Will Jenna Dewan be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? | Yes | 18.76 | $0.040 | $1.13 | +$0.38 |
 Will IMAX (IMAX) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 21 | $0.370 | $1.05 | -$6.72 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.0 on October 23, 2026? | Yes | 21 | $0.310 | $1.05 | -$5.46 |
| Will AP call US Senate control by November 6, 11:59 PM? | No | 1 | $0.180 | $0.16 | -$0.03 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026? | Yes | 23 | $0.197 | $0.14 | -$4.4 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,800,000 and 2,950,000? | No | 0.14 | $0.680 | $0.1 | +$0.01 |
| sell |
| 21 |
| $0.404 |
| $8.48 |
| 11h ago |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.320 | $4.8 | 11h ago |
 Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?No | sell | 20.99 | $0.560 | $11.75 | 11h ago |
 Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.865 | $12.97 | 11h ago |
| Will Bruno Fernandes (Man Utd) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Premier League season?No | sell | 20 | $0.770 | $15.4 | 11h ago |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?No | sell | 20.99 | $0.790 | $16.58 | 11h ago |
 Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?No | sell | 20 | $0.830 | $16.6 | 11h ago |
| Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?No | sell | 27.69 | $0.650 | $18 | 11h ago |
 Will Dota 2 average more Steam players in November than in October?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.940 | $19.74 | 11h ago |
| Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?No | buy | 20.68 | $0.660 | $13.65 | 1d ago |
| Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?No | buy | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | 1d ago |
| Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?No | buy | 7.02 | $0.660 | $4.63 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 10.16 | $0.390 | $3.96 | 1d ago |
| Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?No | buy | 10.85 | $0.530 | $5.75 | 1d ago |
| Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?No | buy | 10.14 | $0.530 | $5.37 | 1d ago |
| Will AP call US House control by November 4, 3:59 AM?No | buy | 1 | $0.160 | $0.16 | 1d ago |
| Will AP call US House control by November 4, 3:59 AM?No | buy | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | 1d ago |
| Will AP call US House control by November 4, 3:59 AM?No | buy | 8.3 | $0.170 | $1.41 | 1d ago |
| Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be above 4%?No | buy | 21 | $0.650 | $13.65 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 21 | $0.490 | $10.29 | 1d ago |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,800,000 and 2,950,000?No | buy | 0.14 | $0.680 | $0.1 | 1d ago |
| Will AP call US Senate control by November 6, 11:59 PM?No | buy | 1 | $0.180 | $0.18 | 1d ago |
 Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.310 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
| Will Jenna Dewan be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?Yes | buy | 18.76 | $0.040 | $0.75 | 1d ago |
| Will Jackson Olson be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?No | buy | 10.03 | $0.390 | $3.91 | 1d ago |
| Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?No | buy | 21 | $0.260 | $5.46 | 1d ago |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?No | buy | 21 | $0.410 | $8.61 | 1d ago |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?No | buy | 16.62 | $0.740 | $12.3 | 1d ago |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?No | buy | 4.38 | $0.740 | $3.24 | 1d ago |
| Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.450 | $0.89 | 2d ago |
| Will IMAX (IMAX) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 21 | $0.370 | $7.77 | 2d ago |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.370 | $7.77 | 2d ago |
| Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.0 on October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.310 | $6.51 | 2d ago |
| Will Alexi Giannoulias win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?No | buy | 21 | $0.270 | $5.67 | 2d ago |
| Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be between 3% and 5%?No | buy | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | 2d ago |
| Will Dota 2 average more Steam players in November than in October?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.510 | $10.71 | 2d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | 2d ago |
| Will Bruno Fernandes (Man Utd) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Premier League season?No | buy | 20 | $0.760 | $15.2 | 2d ago |
| Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.590 | $8.85 | 2d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.170 | $0.34 | 2d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.06 | $0.200 | $2.01 | 2d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.94 | $0.200 | $2.19 | 2d ago |
| Will Doug Morneau win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?No | buy | 21 | $0.560 | $11.76 | 2d ago |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.270 | $12.15 | 2d ago |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | 3d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?No | sell | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | 3d ago |
 Will no listed leader be out before 2027?No | sell | 53.51 | $0.520 | $27.83 | 3d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?No | sell | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | 3d ago |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?No | buy | 40 | $0.730 | $29.2 | 3d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.