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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 11.26 | $0.977 | $10.86 | -$0.14 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 102.33 | $0.999 | $102.23 | Mar 30, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 104.2 |
| $0.981 |
| $102.22 |
| Mar 30, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 104.21 | $0.982 | $102.33 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Trump out as President by March 31?No | sell | 103.25 | $0.991 | $102.32 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 103.26 | $0.988 | $102.02 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 103.14 | $0.989 | $102.01 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 102.23 | $0.987 | $100.9 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 11.26 | $0.977 | $11 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 107.75 | $0.996 | $107.32 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 107.75 | $0.997 | $107.43 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.995 | $89.55 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 106.98 | $0.997 | $106.66 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | sell | 107.19 | $0.995 | $106.65 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | buy | 107.19 | $0.997 | $106.87 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | sell | 107.73 | $0.992 | $106.87 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 107.73 | $0.993 | $106.98 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 108.28 | $0.988 | $106.98 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 108.29 | $0.981 | $106.23 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 110.77 | $0.959 | $106.23 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 110.78 | $0.940 | $104.13 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 101.52 | $0.987 | $100.2 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 101.52 | $0.985 | $100 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?No | sell | 91.46 | $0.996 | $91.09 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?No | buy | 91.46 | $0.984 | $90 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 102.04 | $0.982 | $100.2 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 102.04 | $0.980 | $100 | Nov 19, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 104.52 | $0.982 | $102.64 | Nov 19, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 104.53 | $0.978 | $102.23 | Nov 14, 2025 |
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | sell | 108.04 | $0.946 | $102.23 | Nov 14, 2025 |
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 108.04 | $0.964 | $104.17 | Nov 7, 2025 |
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 113.23 | $0.920 | $104.17 | Nov 7, 2025 |
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 113.24 | $0.920 | $104.18 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 104.18 | $0.960 | $100.01 | Oct 20, 2025 |