Latest trade
Feb 7, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 8:54 PM UTC.
Analytics
On Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 43 settled positions.
bignasty1 is down $266.51 on Polymarket.
Profit and volume as of 2026-05-22 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
Feb 7, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 8:54 PM UTC.
$3.21 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 35 markets; 66.0% were buys. They run from Jan 14, 2026 UTC to Feb 7, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 6.88K | $0.002 | $13.75 | Feb 7, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-05-22 13:59 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 20:54 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 20:54 UTC
polymarket positions
44 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-05-22 13:59 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $24.63 and losing ones cost $28.57 across 43 settled positions. 44.2% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $5.2 on “Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on January 16?” (Yes); the largest loss, $10.5 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET” (Up).
Its most recent trade on record was on 7 Feb 2026. It has traded 55 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 57.67 |
| $0.059 |
| $3.4 |
| Feb 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?Yes | sell | 22.63 | $0.457 | $10.35 | Feb 7, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 24.98K | $0.002 | $49.96 | Feb 7, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 3.05K | $0.002 | $6.1 | Feb 7, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 9.48K | $0.002 | $18.95 | Feb 7, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 7K | $0.002 | $14 | Feb 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?No | buy | 50K | $0.002 | $100 | Feb 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 127.86 | $0.131 | $16.8 | Jan 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 3.62 | $0.870 | $3.15 | Jan 26, 2026 UTC |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.24 | $0.860 | $7.09 | Jan 26, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.68 | $0.993 | $5.64 | Jan 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.91 | $0.032 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.053 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.71 | $0.103 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.94 | $0.168 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 2.57 | $0.850 | $2.18 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 2.58 | $0.854 | $2.2 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.969 | $5.5 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 3.63 | $0.800 | $2.9 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETUp | buy | 19.38 | $0.500 | $9.69 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETUp | buy | 42.14 | $0.460 | $19.38 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on January 17?Yes | buy | 11.44 | $0.612 | $7 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on January 17?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Luigi Mangione smile during next court appearance?Yes | sell | 3.06 | $0.464 | $1.42 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETDown | buy | 10.82 | $0.360 | $3.89 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETDown | buy | 7.6 | $0.510 | $3.88 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETUp | buy | 8.87 | $0.330 | $2.93 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 130.43 | $0.022 | $2.87 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown | sell | 4.72 | $0.860 | $4.06 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 4.7 | $0.210 | $0.99 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on January 16?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on January 16?Yes | buy | 17.18 | $0.291 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETDown | buy | 3.05 | $0.320 | $0.98 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETDown | buy | 9.96 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 16.33 | $0.825 | $13.48 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Luigi Mangione smile during next court appearance?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.620 | $1.9 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETUp | sell | 1.89 | $0.710 | $1.34 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETUp | buy | 1.86 | $0.520 | $0.97 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 130.43 | $0.023 | $3 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.770 | $4.33 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.34 | $0.612 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.76 | $0.500 | $2.88 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Iran strike on US military by January 31?No | sell | 5.95 | $0.550 | $3.27 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.972 | $0.98 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2.85 | $0.340 | $0.97 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.780 | $0.94 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.