
Resolved Yes on 10 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 4 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 4 Feb 2026 to 10 Feb 2026, the highest close was 100% on 10 Feb 2026 and the lowest 50% on 4 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 75.5% on 5 Feb 2026. $2.72M traded over the market's life.
144 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 11, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 4 Feb 2026 – 10 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Feb 2026 | 50.0% |
| 10 Feb 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Nonstop-Bulk | No | 150K |
| burninmind | No | 74K |
| jewpresident | No | 62.95K |
| bignasty1 | No | 50K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next official diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Official diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the US and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their government. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, meetings through a third-party relaying messages (not including translators), or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present and interacting with each other will not count. If the next official meetings between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Another Country”. If no qualifying meeting takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by Feb 13”. If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the meeting begins. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/where-will-the-us-iran-meet
| kai10.2001 | No | 50K |
| LAVegas | No | 31.5K |
| Reckless-Teriyaki | No | 26.99K |
| semih1 | No | 10K |
| Timsah | No | 10K |
| BetIQ50 | No | 6.7K |
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