Latest trade
Dec 31, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:25 AM UTC.
Analytics
Medium-Effector is down $178.07 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 11 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Dec 31, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:25 AM UTC.
$457.48 median trade
Its latest 27 trades covered 12 markets; 59.3% were buys. They run from Dec 4, 2025 UTC to Dec 31, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 665.72 | $0.996 | $663.06 | Dec 31, 2025 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-01 09:46 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 08:25 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
27 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 08:25 UTC
polymarket positions
13 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-01 09:46 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $433.85 and losing ones cost $601.92 across 11 settled positions. 63.6% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $223.72 on “Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?” (Yes); the largest loss, $463.38 on “Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 31 Dec 2025. It has traded 12 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 2.16K |
| $0.998 |
| $2.16K |
| Dec 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 2.02K | $0.897 | $1.81K | Dec 16, 2025 UTC |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | sell | 1.83K | $0.991 | $1.81K | Dec 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 1.83K | $0.995 | $1.82K | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 1.27K | $0.994 | $1.26K | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 105.26 | $0.970 | $102.1 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | sell | 642.1 | $0.712 | $457.48 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 1.27K | $0.994 | $1.26K | Dec 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?No | buy | 144.93 | $0.069 | $10 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | sell | 10.51 | $0.930 | $9.77 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.917 | $1K | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes | sell | 540.43 | $0.067 | $36.37 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?No | sell | 1.01K | $0.999 | $1.01K | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.987 | $999.5 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 540.44 | $0.925 | $499.75 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | buy | 542.84 | $0.919 | $498.75 | Dec 6, 2025 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 140.57 | $0.860 | $120.89 | Dec 6, 2025 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Dec 6, 2025 UTC |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | buy | 109.78 | $0.910 | $99.9 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?Yes | buy | 122.05 | $0.819 | $100 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 113.92 | $0.870 | $99.11 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | sell | 109.68 | $0.904 | $99.11 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 551.8 | $0.870 | $480.07 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 109.68 | $0.912 | $100 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 81.58 | $0.986 | $80.44 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 81.58 | $0.986 | $80.44 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.