Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | No | 71 | $0.951 | $67.95 | +$0.46 |
 Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | buy | 143.59 | $0.360 | $51.69 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 17 |
| $0.950 |
| $16.66 |
| +$0.51 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 16.6 | $0.910 | $15.97 | +$0.86 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 11.2 | $0.940 | $10.81 | +$0.29 |
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 11.2 | $0.940 | $10.51 | -$0.02 |
| Pacifica FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 6 | $0.950 | $5.92 | +$0.22 |
 Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B? | No | 6 | $0.900 | $5.84 | +$0.44 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 6 | $0.840 | $5.67 | +$0.63 |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B? | No | 6 | $0.770 | $5.58 | +$0.96 |
| Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 5.5 | $0.950 | $5.32 | +$0.1 |
 Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? | No | 5.5 | $0.770 | $4.8 | +$0.57 |
 Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? | No | 1 | $0.974 | $0.94 | -$0.04 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 101.35 | $0.029 | $0.76 | -$2.14 |
| buy |
| 19.49 |
| $0.680 |
| $13.25 |
| Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Yesway’s market cap be between $600M and $700M at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 530.31 | $0.999 | $529.7 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Yesway not IPO before June 2026?No | buy | 860.85 | $0.998 | $859.22 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup?No | sell | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | buy | 424.32 | $0.458 | $194.28 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be greater than $1.3B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 23.03 | $0.030 | $0.69 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be less than $0.9B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 6.07 | $0.007 | $0.04 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $0.9B and $1.0B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 243.95 | $0.001 | $0.29 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Kailera Therapeutics’s market cap be between $1.7B and $1.8B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 516.32 | $0.001 | $0.52 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Kailera Therapeutics’s market cap be between $1.8B and $1.9B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 134.84 | $0.001 | $0.13 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Kailera Therapeutics’s market cap be between $1.9B and $2.0B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 138.65 | $0.001 | $0.14 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerVitality | buy | 11.11K | $0.996 | $11.06K | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerVitality | buy | 997.6 | $0.960 | $957.7 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Alamar Biosciences not IPO before June 2026?No | buy | 130 | $0.999 | $129.87 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Kailera Therapeutics’s market cap be greater than $2.1B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 201.27 | $0.955 | $192.12 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be greater than $1.3B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 167.76 | $0.837 | $140.37 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Kailera Therapeutics’s market cap be greater than $2.1B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 424.95 | $0.851 | $361.71 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Alamar Biosciences not IPO before June 2026?No | buy | 24.98 | $0.990 | $24.73 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Kailera Therapeutics’s market cap be greater than $2.1B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 2.41K | $0.577 | $1.39K | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be greater than $1.3B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 57.6 | $0.500 | $28.8 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | sell | 1.26K | $0.981 | $1.24K | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Brentford be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No | sell | 31 | $0.998 | $30.94 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Chelsea be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No | sell | 1.23K | $0.999 | $1.23K | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Kailera Therapeutics’s market cap be less than $1.7B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 22.42 | $0.040 | $0.9 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Kailera Therapeutics’s market cap be between $1.8B and $1.9B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 6.66 | $0.060 | $0.4 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Kailera Therapeutics’s market cap be between $1.7B and $1.8B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 496.16 | $0.060 | $29.81 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Alamar Biosciences not IPO before June 2026?No | buy | 14.26 | $0.980 | $13.97 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Alamar Biosciences not IPO before June 2026?No | buy | 35.61 | $0.960 | $34.18 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Alamar Biosciences not IPO before June 2026?No | buy | 24.17 | $0.956 | $23.11 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Arxis’s market cap be greater than $13B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 1.16K | $0.001 | $1.16 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Kailera Therapeutics not IPO before June 2026?No | buy | 29.47 | $0.989 | $29.14 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Madison Air’s market cap be between $13.0B and $13.5B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 307.51 | $0.001 | $0.31 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Madison Air’s market cap be greater than $13.5B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.990 | $38.61 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Madison Air’s market cap be between $12.5B and $13.0B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 201.57 | $0.001 | $0.2 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Madison Air’s market cap be less than $12.0B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 449.74 | $0.001 | $0.45 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Arxis’s market cap be greater than $13B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 265.79 | $0.990 | $263.13 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Arxis’s market cap be greater than $13B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 443.74 | $0.989 | $438.85 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Madison Air’s market cap be between $12.5B and $13.0B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 59.71 | $0.002 | $0.12 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Arxis’s market cap be greater than $13B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 158.82 | $0.970 | $154.05 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Madison Air’s market cap be between $13.0B and $13.5B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 9.76 | $0.089 | $0.87 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Madison Air’s market cap be between $13.0B and $13.5B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 85.43 | $0.105 | $8.97 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Madison Air’s market cap be between $13.0B and $13.5B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 231.26 | $0.160 | $37 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Madison Air’s market cap be greater than $13.5B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 230.36 | $0.790 | $181.99 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Madison Air’s market cap be greater than $13.5B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 24.67 | $0.688 | $16.97 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Arxis’s market cap be between $11B and $12B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 460.36 | $0.729 | $335.37 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Arxis’s market cap be between $12B and $13B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 390.38 | $0.374 | $146.03 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Arxis’s market cap be greater than $13B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 72.93 | $0.339 | $24.76 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Arxis’s market cap be between $12B and $13B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 380.77 | $0.399 | $151.83 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Madison Air’s market cap be between $13.0B and $13.5B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 746.03 | $0.289 | $215.7 | Apr 16, 2026 |