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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2.39 | +$0.39 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | 1d ago |
|
| No |
| 2.63 |
| $0.760 |
| $2.38 |
| +$0.38 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 2.11 | $0.540 | $1.64 | +$0.5 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 4.35 | $0.460 | $0.98 | -$1.02 |
| buy |
| 2.63 |
| $0.760 |
| $2 |
| 3d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | 3d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.540 | $1.14 | 3d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 6d ago |
 Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | 14d ago |
 Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 14d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | 15d ago |
 Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $580 in August?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | 16d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | 23d ago |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | 24d ago |
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on August 19?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | 25d ago |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | 29d ago |
 Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | 29d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.390 | $1.26 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of August 3 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?No | buy | 2.95 | $0.550 | $1.62 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Another pandemic before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026?No | buy | 3.75 | $0.480 | $1.8 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.610 | $1.86 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.99 | $0.499 | $1.99 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.590 | $2.01 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 3.56 | $0.550 | $1.96 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 3.38 | $0.594 | $2.01 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.620 | $1.89 | Jul 26, 2026 |