Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 149.26 | $0.094 | $14 | Sep 14, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 130.55 |
| $0.110 |
| $14.36 |
| Sep 14, 2025 |
 Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.003 | $15 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.91K | $0.007 | $13.37 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.72K | $0.012 | $20.53 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 966.3 | $0.022 | $21 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 259.87 | $0.077 | $20 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.91K | $0.010 | $20 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.004 | $20 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.406 | $101.48 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 475 | $0.080 | $38 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.24K | $0.008 | $49.95 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.83K | $0.018 | $50 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 996.03 | $0.050 | $50 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.200 | $50 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 846.95 | $0.059 | $49.97 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 749.78 | $0.067 | $50 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.100 | $35 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.005 | $20 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?Yes | buy | 455.55 | $0.025 | $11.39 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.12K | $0.993 | $1.11K | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?Dan | sell | 186 | $0.216 | $40.18 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?Yes | sell | 1.17K | $0.728 | $854.07 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.54 | $0.480 | $1.7 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.480 | $20.16 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?Yes | buy | 129.72 | $0.250 | $32.43 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?Yes | sell | 1.95K | $0.034 | $65.61 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win by 0–6%?Yes | sell | 1.05K | $0.200 | $210.8 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will George Simion win by 0–6%?Yes | buy | 514.14 | $0.210 | $107.97 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will George Simion win by 0–6%?Yes | sell | 539.83 | $0.200 | $107.97 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will George Simion win by 0–6%?Yes | buy | 448.1 | $0.210 | $94.1 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?Yes | buy | 87.73 | $0.220 | $19.3 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will George Simion win by 0–6%?Yes | buy | 631.58 | $0.190 | $120 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.220 | $200 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.280 | $299.53 | May 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 189.53 | $0.262 | $49.67 | May 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.24K | $0.040 | $50 | May 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.94K | $0.017 | $50 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 33.26 | $0.600 | $19.96 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 4.89K | $0.004 | $19.96 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.98K | $0.017 | $49.87 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 424.46 | $0.027 | $11.46 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.027 | $27 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 367.83 | $0.045 | $16.55 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | sell | 3.2K | $0.442 | $1.41K | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | sell | 288.67 | $0.443 | $127.88 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | sell | 630.17 | $0.444 | $279.8 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.446 | $2.23 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | sell | 224 | $0.447 | $100.13 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | sell | 22.3 | $0.449 | $10.01 | Dec 2, 2024 |