Latest trade
Dec 16, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 1:27 PM UTC.
Analytics
Productive-Merchandise has made $1.03K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 16 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Dec 16, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 1:27 PM UTC.
$13.92 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 10 markets; 74.0% were buys. They run from Dec 10, 2025 UTC to Dec 16, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 3.23K | $0.429 | $3.15K | +$1.76K |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.74K | $0.400 | $694.61 | Dec 16, 2025 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-01 10:49 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 13:27 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 13:27 UTC
polymarket positions
17 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-01 10:49 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $4.26K and losing ones cost $312.31 across 16 settled positions. 81.3% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.7K on “Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in December?” (No); the largest loss, $164.88 on “Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in December?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 16 Dec 2025. It has traded 28 markets. Its open positions are worth $3.24K across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 91 |
| $0.270 |
| $88.91 |
| +$64.34 |
| StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | 117.25 | $0.710 | $2.7 | -$80.55 |
| sell |
| 44.14 |
| $0.420 |
| $18.54 |
| Dec 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 48.86 | $0.420 | $20.52 | Dec 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 120 | $0.420 | $50.4 | Dec 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 129 | $0.420 | $54.18 | Dec 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 143.46 | $0.400 | $57.39 | Dec 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 8 | $0.420 | $3.36 | Dec 16, 2025 UTC |
 EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 26.71 | $0.140 | $3.74 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 76.06 | $0.130 | $9.89 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.130 | $0.15 | Dec 14, 2025 UTC |
| EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 12.78 | $0.130 | $1.66 | Dec 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.400 | $50 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.99K | $0.320 | $636.8 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.01 | $0.320 | $3.2 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.410 | $492 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 964.29 | $0.420 | $405 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 43.18 | $0.330 | $14.25 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.53 | $0.330 | $1.16 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200.15 | $0.370 | $74.06 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 144.37 | $0.370 | $53.42 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 0.53 | $0.420 | $0.22 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 333 | $0.370 | $123.21 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 222 | $0.370 | $82.14 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 0.1 | $0.330 | $0.03 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 0.47 | $0.370 | $0.17 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.06 | $0.330 | $6.62 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.330 | $4.95 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 37.48 | $0.340 | $12.74 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.33 | $0.340 | $3.51 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 167.18 | $0.340 | $56.84 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.33 | $0.340 | $3.51 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 136.98 | $0.340 | $46.57 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 445.77 | $0.340 | $151.56 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.340 | $13.6 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 151.88 | $0.340 | $51.64 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 30 | $0.420 | $12.6 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 300 | $0.700 | $210 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.420 | $2.17 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | buy | 91 | $0.270 | $24.57 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.610 | $6.1 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | sell | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 29.25 | $0.180 | $5.27 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in December?Yes | buy | 270 | $0.170 | $45.9 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | sell | 40 | $0.750 | $30 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | sell | 6.32 | $0.750 | $4.74 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | sell | 1K | $0.732 | $731.71 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?No | buy | 706.12 | $0.610 | $430.73 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.025 | $2.5 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.112 | $2.24 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.