Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 44% on 3 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 46.5% on 19 Dec 2025 and the low 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 22.5% on 20 Dec 2025. $730.56K traded over the market's life.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 3 Dec 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2025 | 44.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cosmic Vector 94FA | Yes | 5K |
| kiwitrades | Yes | 4.72K |
| 8Eotx5qJmuUVd | Yes | 789.98 |
| IH2P | Yes | 644.12 |
| Hdusbw7rucu7dhe | Yes | 555.56 |
| tsettest | Yes | 500 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 425 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 270 |
| johncoffeekoin | Yes | 210 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 209.99 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What price will Ethereum hit in December?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-december-479
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