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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 2.31 | $0.996 | $2.3 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 3.05 |
| $0.984 |
| $3 |
| Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.972 | $2 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 314.83 | $0.680 | $214.08 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?No | buy | 1.66 | $0.998 | $1.66 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.997 | $1.59 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.961 | $1.25 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1.9 | $0.997 | $1.89 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.991 | $1.57 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1.66 | $0.942 | $1.56 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.55 | $0.930 | $1.44 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.998 | $1.23 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.995 | $1.34 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will Moonshot have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.999 | $1.5 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.999 | $1.47 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.998 | $1.37 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.977 | $1.3 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.65 | $0.970 | $1.6 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.996 | $1.3 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.993 | $1.4 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high by October 31?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.998 | $1.28 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.971 | $1.22 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October meeting?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.999 | $1.13 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.973 | $1.33 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 1.26 | $0.993 | $1.25 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.998 | $1.23 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.999 | $1.4 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.998 | $1.19 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.21 | $0.991 | $1.2 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.999 | $1.12 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.993 | $3 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.991 | $4 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 7.23 | $0.968 | $7 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.965 | $5 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 4.38 | $0.960 | $4.2 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.960 | $4 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4500 in July?No | buy | 2.34 | $0.988 | $2.31 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.975 | $3 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 2.52 | $0.973 | $2.45 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 3.53 | $0.963 | $3.4 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 5.6 | $0.974 | $5.45 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 5.63 | $0.923 | $5.2 | May 28, 2025 |
 Fed rate hike in 2025?No | sell | 5.2 | $0.890 | $4.63 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 5.08 | $0.984 | $5 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 5.73 | $0.982 | $5.63 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?Yes | sell | 5.94 | $0.983 | $5.84 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 5.74 | $0.976 | $5.6 | Mar 19, 2025 |
| Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.958 | $5.7 | Mar 19, 2025 |