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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.99 | $0.953 | $0.97 | +$0.03 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 3 | $0.720 | $2.16 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 34 |
| $0.830 |
| $28.22 |
| Jun 22, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 34 | $0.840 | $28.56 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 31 | $0.740 | $22.94 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 43 | $0.740 | $31.82 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.160 | $3.68 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.130 | $7.41 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 39 | $0.790 | $30.81 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 42 | $0.780 | $32.76 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.860 | $0.86 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 34 | $0.860 | $29.24 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.927 | $25.03 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 11 | $0.971 | $10.68 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.840 | $23.52 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 36 | $0.910 | $32.76 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 37 | $0.920 | $34.04 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 14 | $0.240 | $3.36 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 6 | $0.730 | $4.38 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 14 | $0.953 | $13.34 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.220 | $8.58 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.220 | $5.72 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 28.43 | $0.954 | $27.12 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.983 | $35.39 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.983 | $35.39 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June?No | sell | 8 | $0.967 | $7.74 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 60% and 100% on August 15?No | sell | 44 | $0.976 | $42.94 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Flamengo win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | buy | 1.74 | $0.942 | $1.64 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.005 | $0.09 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 60% and 100% on August 15?No | buy | 44 | $0.948 | $41.71 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?No | sell | 5 | $0.975 | $4.88 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?No | sell | 42 | $0.958 | $40.24 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people?Yes | sell | 74 | $0.005 | $0.37 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people?Yes | buy | 148 | $0.005 | $0.74 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.975 | $1.5 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.908 | $4.54 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.883 | $30.91 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 35 | $0.971 | $33.99 | May 15, 2025 |
| Will Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 35 | $0.971 | $33.99 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 40 | $0.948 | $37.92 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 40 | $0.948 | $37.92 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 43 | $0.990 | $42.57 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 9–16?No | buy | 5 | $0.964 | $4.82 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Pedro Nuno Santos be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?No | buy | 5 | $0.964 | $4.82 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No | buy | 44 | $0.977 | $42.99 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 44 | $0.984 | $43.3 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 44 | $0.981 | $43.16 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will another candidate win?No | buy | 43 | $0.992 | $42.66 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in April?Yes | sell | 43 | $0.037 | $1.59 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 34 | $0.993 | $33.76 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in April?Yes | buy | 289 | $0.035 | $10.12 | May 10, 2025 |