Latest trade
Oct 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 3:28 AM UTC.
Analytics
kaoyan is down $464.02 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 32 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-03 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 3:28 AM UTC.
$22.88 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 19 markets; 44.0% were buys. They run from Sep 27, 2025 UTC to Oct 3, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 300 | $0.956 | $291.45 | +$4.65 |
 Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?No | sell | 100 | $0.993 | $99.3 | 22d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-03 08:10 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 03:28 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 03:28 UTC
polymarket positions
33 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-03 08:10 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $132.95 and losing ones cost $176.61 across 32 settled positions. 56.3% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $30.8 on “Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?” (Yes); the largest loss, $42 on “Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 3 Oct 2026. It has traded 38 markets. Its open positions are worth $485.85 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 150 |
| $0.996 |
| $149.4 |
| $0 |
 Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.190 | $45 | +$7 |
| buy |
| 150 |
| $0.996 |
| $149.4 |
| Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.190 | $38 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 300 | $0.956 | $286.8 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 14.52 | $0.990 | $14.37 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | sell | 4.56K | $0.001 | $4.56 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?No | sell | 0.54 | $0.900 | $0.49 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | buy | 4.56K | $0.005 | $22.81 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?No | buy | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?No | sell | 66 | $0.900 | $59.4 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?No | buy | 66.54 | $0.962 | $64.01 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?No | sell | 100 | $0.993 | $99.3 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | sell | 4.28K | $0.007 | $29.99 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
 StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?No | sell | 50.86 | $0.997 | $50.71 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | buy | 4.28K | $0.008 | $34.27 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 7.65K | $0.003 | $22.95 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.38 | $0.760 | $4.85 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.39 | $0.390 | $2.49 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?No | buy | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?No | buy | 300 | $0.930 | $279 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?No | buy | 124.92 | $0.944 | $117.92 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.610 | $122 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.820 | $164 | Dec 13, 2025 UTC |
| StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?No | buy | 50.86 | $0.983 | $50 | Dec 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??Yes | buy | 200 | $0.640 | $128 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??Yes | buy | 100 | $0.670 | $67 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??Yes | buy | 300 | $0.675 | $202.55 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 136.36 | $0.880 | $120 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.880 | $110 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 4.26K | $0.004 | $17.06 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 3.32K | $0.007 | $23.25 | Oct 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 311.87 | $0.007 | $2.18 | Oct 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.007 | $7 | Oct 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 49.28 | $0.007 | $0.34 | Oct 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 104.62 | $0.007 | $0.73 | Oct 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 60.36 | $0.007 | $0.42 | Oct 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 67.02 | $0.007 | $0.47 | Oct 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 49.09 | $0.007 | $0.34 | Oct 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 917.2 | $0.007 | $6.42 | Oct 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 610 | $0.007 | $4.27 | Oct 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 139.04 | $0.007 | $0.97 | Oct 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 153.8 | $0.007 | $1.08 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 154.19 | $0.007 | $1.08 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 157.1 | $0.007 | $1.1 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 285.72 | $0.007 | $2 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 14.58 | $0.007 | $0.1 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 161.83 | $0.007 | $1.13 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 4.26K | $0.005 | $21.32 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 7.7K | $0.003 | $23.1 | Sep 27, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.