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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 1.3 | $0.962 | $1.25 | Aug 6, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 1.33 |
| $0.949 |
| $1.26 |
| Aug 6, 2026 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.66 | $0.890 | $1.48 | Jul 16, 2026 |
US military draft authorized in 2026?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.943 | $1.26 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.954 | $1.24 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 11.5 | $0.580 | $6.67 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 6.82 | $0.600 | $4.09 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?No | buy | 9.56 | $0.800 | $7.65 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.951 | $1.06 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.990 | $1.25 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | buy | 1.34 | $0.994 | $1.33 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.974 | $1.45 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.989 | $1.34 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.991 | $1.18 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.939 | $1.05 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.12K | $0.001 | $6.12 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.37K | $0.001 | $6.37 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.62K | $0.001 | $6.62 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.88K | $0.001 | $6.88 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.15K | $0.001 | $7.15 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.001 | $1.43 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.5K | $0.001 | $7.5 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.36K | $0.001 | $3.36 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.9K | $0.001 | $5.9 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.95K | $0.001 | $1.95 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.7K | $0.001 | $7.7 | May 25, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.75 | $0.999 | $2.75 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Yes | buy | 1.24 | $0.924 | $1.15 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will Yoweri Kaguta Museveni win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.24 | $0.980 | $1.22 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.992 | $1.27 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.972 | $1.22 | Jan 15, 2026 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.988 | $1.28 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?No | buy | 1.57 | $0.994 | $1.56 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.998 | $1.35 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in December 2025?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.985 | $1.38 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C on January 4?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.999 | $1.54 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.968 | $1.38 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.989 | $1.11 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.969 | $1.45 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.920 | $1.17 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 3?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.999 | $1.65 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.999 | $1.23 | Jan 4, 2026 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.999 | $1.34 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.65 | $0.993 | $1.64 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.996 | $1.16 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.36 | $0.920 | $1.25 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Will no listed leader be out in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.949 | $1.26 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.4 | $0.950 | $1.33 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.940 | $1.05 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.924 | $1.23 | Dec 17, 2025 |