Latest trade
Nov 18, 2024 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 5:38 PM UTC.
Analytics
Failing-Acre is down $5.1 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 12 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2024-11-18 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Nov 18, 2024 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 5:38 PM UTC.
$5 median trade
Its latest 48 trades covered 27 markets; 72.9% were buys. They run from Oct 17, 2024 UTC to Nov 18, 2024 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | Nov 18, 2024 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2024-11-18 09:32 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 17:38 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
48 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 17:38 UTC
polymarket positions
13 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2024-11-18 09:32 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $161.29 and losing ones cost $17.55 across 12 settled positions. 58.3% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $85.67 on “Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?” (Yes); the largest loss, $10.55 on “Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 18 Nov 2024. It has traded 27 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 220 |
| $0.998 |
| $219.56 |
| Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
 Trump wins every swing state?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.190 | $7.6 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.065 | $3.25 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Elon" 5 or more times during Michigan rally on October 25?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.830 | $24.9 | Oct 25, 2024 UTC |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.054 | $5.4 | Oct 25, 2024 UTC |
 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154Yes | sell | 150 | $0.032 | $4.8 | Oct 25, 2024 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Oct 25, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump lead in RCP on Oct 25?Yes | sell | 130 | $0.500 | $65 | Oct 25, 2024 UTC |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154Yes | sell | 69.29 | $0.095 | $6.58 | Oct 24, 2024 UTC |
 Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.066 | $3.3 | Oct 23, 2024 UTC |
 Israel military response against Iran in October?No | buy | 154.31 | $0.320 | $49.38 | Oct 18, 2024 UTC |
 Israel military response against Iran by Friday?No | sell | 5 | $0.980 | $4.9 | Oct 18, 2024 UTC |
| Israel military response against Iran by Friday?No | sell | 25 | $0.980 | $24.5 | Oct 18, 2024 UTC |
 Will Elon tweet 200-224 October 11-18?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Oct 18, 2024 UTC |
 Jeremy Hunt next Conservative party leader?Yes | buy | 345 | $0.002 | $0.78 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
 James Cleverly next Conservative party leader?Yes | buy | 44.66 | $0.003 | $0.13 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
 Robert Jenrick next Conservative party leader?Yes | buy | 44.66 | $0.351 | $15.68 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
 David Cameron next Conservative party leader?Yes | buy | 360 | $0.003 | $1.08 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
| James Cleverly next Conservative party leader?Yes | buy | 35.08 | $0.003 | $0.11 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
 Tom Tugendhat next Conservative party leader?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
| Israel military response against Iran by Friday?No | buy | 30 | $0.850 | $25.5 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154Yes | buy | 21.2 | $0.032 | $0.68 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
| Will Elon tweet 200-224 October 11-18?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154Yes | buy | 48.8 | $0.032 | $1.56 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
| Will Elon tweet 175-199 October 11-18?Yes | buy | 36.68 | $0.590 | $21.64 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
 Will weed be rescheduled in 2024?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.070 | $0.75 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
| Trump wins every swing state?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.300 | $12 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
 Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?No | buy | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154Yes | buy | 15 | $0.032 | $0.48 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154Yes | buy | 9 | $0.032 | $0.29 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154Yes | buy | 69.29 | $0.079 | $5.47 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154Yes | buy | 56 | $0.032 | $1.79 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump launch a coin before the election?No | buy | 500 | $0.014 | $7 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
| Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.277 | $13.85 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala lead in RCP by 2.5-2.9 on Oct 25?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.022 | $0.44 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala lead in RCP by 2-2.4 on Oct 25?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.190 | $11.4 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump lead in RCP on Oct 25?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.079 | $10.27 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.612 | $104.04 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump launch a coin before the election?No | buy | 40 | $0.014 | $0.56 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.077 | $3.85 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.597 | $29.85 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump launch a coin before the election?No | buy | 500 | $0.006 | $3 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Venezuela" 3 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.012 | $6 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Oct 17, 2024 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.