Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 12.04 | $0.115 | $1.38 | Mar 29, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 12.05 |
| $0.083 |
| $1 |
| Mar 29, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.926 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on January 10, 2026?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on January 10, 2026?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 10, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.975 | $2 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by January 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Velykomykhailivka by November 30?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.927 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran by November 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Shakhove by November 30?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by November 30?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.977 | $5 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 US strikes Afghanistan by October 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 US strikes Iran by October 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will the price of Solana be above $180 on October 10?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $5,200 October 6-12?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.987 | $2 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Eugenio Giani win Tuscany Regional Election?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 MetaMask airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Rainbow airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Jumper airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 US strikes Yemen by September 30?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Stepanivka by September 30?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 15?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by September 15?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy before October?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Linea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will LDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Google's Wiz acquisition blocked before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 DeepSeek R2 released before July?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 DeepSeek V4 released before July?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 CHIPS Act repealed before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Trump's sovereign wealth fund acquires TikTok before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |