Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | No | 140.35 | $0.881 | $130.04 | +$6.42 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.860 | $1.18 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 30.68 |
| $0.819 |
| $29.71 |
| +$4.59 |
 Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | No | 37.31 | $0.808 | $26.11 | -$4.04 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.28 | $0.608 | $4.93 | +$1.72 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 7.59 | $0.410 | $3.3 | +$0.19 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 30.29 | $0.435 | $2.88 | -$10.3 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 5.43 | $0.359 | $0.9 | -$1.05 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | Yes | 2.38 | $0.420 | $0.88 | -$0.12 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 37.04 | $0.027 | $0.87 | -$0.13 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 33.32 | $0.048 | $0.27 | -$1.33 |
| sell |
| 16.76 |
| $0.073 |
| $1.22 |
| Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 12.42 | $0.930 | $11.55 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.74 | $0.740 | $3.51 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | sell | 3.83 | $0.330 | $1.26 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | sell | 4.15 | $0.330 | $1.37 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 32.01 | $0.031 | $0.99 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 10.5 | $0.860 | $9.03 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 6.23 | $0.850 | $5.3 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?No | sell | 7.9 | $0.920 | $7.27 | May 28, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 7.22 | $0.989 | $7.14 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump attend his son's wedding?Yes | buy | 81.96 | $0.041 | $3.35 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.940 | $1.97 | May 22, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 1.58 | $0.958 | $1.51 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 15.14 | $0.210 | $3.18 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.410 | $1.21 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | sell | 3.94 | $0.270 | $1.06 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.72 | $0.410 | $1.12 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 3.94 | $0.340 | $1.34 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 13.37 | $0.033 | $0.44 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 30.6 | $0.033 | $1.01 | May 13, 2026 |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.860 | $1.59 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | sell | 2.89 | $0.560 | $1.62 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.390 | $5.32 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.15 | $0.800 | $1.72 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 197.27 | $0.009 | $1.78 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.53 | $0.800 | $2.02 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.89 | $0.380 | $1.1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.920 | $1.1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.359 | $1.95 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 2.19 | $0.920 | $2.01 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 3.81 | $0.800 | $3.05 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | sell | 3.43 | $0.890 | $3.05 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Weed rescheduled by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.69 | $0.350 | $1.99 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.06 | $0.650 | $1.99 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?No | buy | 7.13 | $0.150 | $1.07 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.62 | $0.660 | $1.07 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 62.22 | $0.048 | $2.99 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 47.08 | $0.048 | $2.26 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | sell | 6.03 | $0.870 | $5.25 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Juliano Floss win Big Brother Brasil 26?Yes | buy | 68.13 | $0.016 | $1.09 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.8 | $0.610 | $1.1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 197.27 | $0.011 | $2.17 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | sell | 2.46 | $0.880 | $2.16 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 16.77 | $0.065 | $1.09 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | sell | 1.24 | $0.880 | $1.09 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.9 | $0.520 | $2.03 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?No | sell | 2.5 | $0.810 | $2.03 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by April 30?Yes | buy | 90.83 | $0.012 | $1.09 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.880 | $1.1 | Apr 14, 2026 |